Match Info

Date: 21 October 2020, Wednesday


	Olympiacos Piraeus		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.75
	2.15	3.3	3.5
	2.12	3.45	3.85
	2.05	3.3	3.7
	2.12	3.43	3.84
	2.1	3.3	3.7
	2.12	3.48	3.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.38)	3.37 ↑ (3.27)	3.73 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympiacos Piraeus
45.7%

Draw
28.5%

Olympique Marseille
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

29.4%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

21.8%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olympiacos Piraeus's performance.

Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olympiacos Piraeus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.1%	12.7%	16.2%

Olympiacos Piraeus - Olympique Marseille Predictions

Users Predictions: 197 users predict this event. Olympiacos will win (votes: 140 - 71.1%). Marseille will win (votes: 32 - 16.2%). It will Tie (votes: 25 - 12.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olympiacos: 64.8% – 77.4%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Olympiacos has a chance of round of 16 (43%), has a small chance of qtrs (15%), has a very small chance of semis (5%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Marseille has a chance of round of 16 (19%), has a very small chance of qtrs (4%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Olympiacos is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Marseille is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Marseille have a series of home games.

Olympiacos will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League
17.10.20	Olympiacos Piraeus - Atromitos Athens	4:0 ✺
04.10.20	PAS Giannina - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.09.20	Omonia - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:0 ✺
Greek Super League
26.09.20	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panetolikos	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.09.20	Olympiacos Piraeus - Omonia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTTWW
- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
17.10.20	Olympique Marseille - Bordeaux	3:1 ✺
04.10.20	Lyon - Olympique Marseille	1:1 ✺
26.09.20	Olympique Marseille - Metz	1:1 ✺
20.09.20	Olympique Marseille - Lille	1:1 ✺
17.09.20	Olympique Marseille - Saint-Étienne	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTTTL

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