Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 29

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Vélodrome (Marseille)

Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Caze TV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 4
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Olympique Marseille		Metz

	1	X	2
	1.25	6.5	9.5	Watch
	1.27	5.9	10.5	Watch
	1.26	6.71	10.75
	1.26	6.66	9.8	Watch
	1.25	5.75	9
	1.28	6.83	9.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.27)	6.39 ↑ (5.83)	9.92 ↑ (9.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympique Marseille
75.5%

Draw
14.9%

Metz
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.2%

16.2%

9.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

The chances for Metz have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Olympique Marseille - Metz Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (41 of 45 users predict this - 91.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.79% – 99.43%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Olympique Marseille will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rulli G. (G) 28. Pavard B. 5. Balerdi L. 32. Medina F. 22. Weah T. 23. Hojbjerg P. (C) 27. Timber Q. 14. Paixao I. 10. Greenwood M. 9. Gouiri A. 17. Aubameyang P.	61. Sy P. (G) 39. Kouao K. 38. Sane S. 5. Gbamin J. 2. Colin M. 20. Deminguet J. 12. Toure A. 70. Sarr B. 10. Hein G. 7. Tsitaishvili G. 30. Diallo H. (C)
Substitutes
8. Abdelli H. 12. De Lange J. (G) 33. Emerson 78. Lago E. 26. Nadir B. 6. Nnadi T. 11. Nwaneri E. 20. Traore H. J. 18. Vermeeren A.	9. Abuashvili G. 97. Ballo-Toure F. 1. Fischer J. (G) 11. Kvilitaia G. 34. Mbala N. 4. Mboula U. 19. Michal L. 21. Stambouli B. 15. Yegbe T.
Coaches
Beye H.	Tavenot B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Aubameyang P. ⚽, Greenwood M. (A),
45+1', Medina F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, Paixao I. ⚽, Greenwood M. (A),
49', 2 - 1, Tsitaishvili G. ⚽, Hein G. (A),
56', Colin M. 🟨,
72', Aubameyang P. ↓, Vermeeren A. ↑,
81', Deminguet J. ↓, Mbala N. ↑,
82', Colin M. ↓, Ballo-Toure F. ↑,
82', Greenwood M. ↓, Traore H. J. ↑,
82', Timber Q. ↓, Nnadi T. ↑,
84', Kouao K. 🟨,
87', Toure A. ↓, Michal L. ↑,
90+1', Paixao I. ↓, Abdelli H. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 1, Traore H. J. ⚽, Gouiri A. (A),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 2.

Recent performances by Marseille have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Metz's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Marseille is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Marseille: Aguerd N. (Groin Injury) Egan-Riley C. (Injury) Kondogbia G. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Metz: Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Munongo B. (Knee Injury) Traore B. (Calf Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:12. (average 1.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.7:0.9).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Marseille: 1.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7:8	-1	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
05.04.26	Monaco - Olympique Marseille	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Olympique Marseille - Lille	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Olympique Marseille - Auxerre	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Toulouse - Olympique Marseille	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
04.03.26	Olympique Marseille - Toulouse	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWL
- FC Metz
French Ligue 1
05.04.26	Metz - Nantes	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Rennes - Metz	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Metz - Toulouse	3:4 ✺
08.03.26	Lens - Metz	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Metz - Brest	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
04.10.25	Metz - Olympique Marseille	0:3
09.02.24	Olympique Marseille - Metz	1:1
18.08.23	Metz - Olympique Marseille	2:2
13.02.22	Metz - Olympique Marseille	1:2
07.11.21	Olympique Marseille - Metz	0:0
23.05.21	Metz - Olympique Marseille	1:0
26.09.20	Olympique Marseille - Metz	1:1

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