Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Vélodrome (Marseille)

Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	ESPN 4
Asia	beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
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Belgium	DAZN 1
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Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, DAZN France, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	SKAI
India	GXR World
Israel	5 GOLD Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Caliente TV App
Montenegro	Arena Sport 4
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North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
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Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV4
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	ESPN 4 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	beIN Sports
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
World	Disney+


	Olympique Marseille		Saint-Étienne

	1	X	2
	1.22	7	10	Watch
	1.21	6.9	12.5
	1.24	7.1	11.65
	1.24	6.94	11.42	Watch
	1.22	6.5	11
	1.25	7.48	10.3	Watch
	1.21	6.9	12.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.29)	6.97 ↑ (5.84)	11.34 ↑ (9.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS En Español

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Current Win Probability

Olympique Marseille
77.9%

Draw
13.7%

Saint-Étienne
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74%

16.3%

9.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.7%	9.3%	14%

Olympique Marseille - Saint Étienne Predictions

Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (33 of 41 users predict this - 80.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 92.62%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rulli G. (G) 62. Murillo M. 5. Balerdi L. (C) 13. Cornelius D. 44. Luis Henrique 22. Bennacer I. 23. Hojbjerg P. 3. Merlin Q. 25. Rabiot A. 10. Greenwood M. 9. Gouiri A.	30. Larsonneur G. (C) 21. Batubinsika D. 19. Petrot L. 3. Nade M. 17. Cornud P. 6. Bouchouari B. 4. Ekwah P. 10. Tardieu F. 20. Boakye A. 32. Stassin L. 22. Davitashvili Z.
Substitutes
77. Dedic A. 12. De Lange J. (G) 6. Garcia U. 19. Kondogbia G. 29. Lirola P. 8. Maupay N. 26. Nadir B. 21. Rongier V. 17. Rowe J.	5. Abdelhamid Y. 13. Bernauer M. 23. Briancon A. 7. Cardona I. 26. Fomba L. 1. Maubleu B. (G) 28. Miladinovic I. 14. Mouton L. 9. Sissoko I.
Coaches
De Zerbi R.	Horneland E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Stassin L. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Gouiri A. ⚽, Hojbjerg P. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Boakye A. ↓, Cardona I. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Greenwood M. (Pen),
58', 3 - 0, Murillo M. ⚽,
60', 4 - 0, Gouiri A. ⚽, Hojbjerg P. (A),
62', Bouchouari B. ↓, Mouton L. ↑,
66', Merlin Q. ↓, Dedic A. ↑,
67', Bennacer I. ↓, Rongier V. ↑,
68', Cornelius D. 🟨,
72', Greenwood M. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
73', Cornelius D. ↓, Kondogbia G. ↑,
77', 5 - 0, Rabiot A. ⚽, Dedic A. (A),
79', 5 - 1, Stassin L. ⚽, Cardona I. (A),
81', Tardieu F. ↓, Fomba L. ↑,
81', Gouiri A. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marseille won 5.

Recent matches Marseille is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Saint-Étienne is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Marseille is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Marseille: Blanco R. (Ankle Injury) Harit A. (Calf Injury) Moumbagna F. (Knee Injury) Rongier V. (Illness)

There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Moueffek A. (Illness) Wadji I. (Injury)

There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Old B. (Knee Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Marseille won 12 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 37:16 (average 1.9:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Marseille won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:6 (average 1.8:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
09.02.25	Angers - Olympique Marseille	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Olympique Marseille - Lyon	3:2 ✺
26.01.25	Nice - Olympique Marseille	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
14.01.25	Olympique Marseille - Lille	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLTL
- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 1
08.02.25	Saint-Étienne - Rennes	0:2 ✺
01.02.25	Lille - Saint-Étienne	4:1 ✺
24.01.25	Auxerre - Saint-Étienne	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Saint-Étienne - Nantes	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France
22.12.24	Saint-Étienne - Olympique Marseille	0:4
French Ligue 1
08.12.24	Saint-Étienne - Olympique Marseille	0:2
03.04.22	Saint-Étienne - Olympique Marseille	2:4
28.08.21	Olympique Marseille - Saint-Étienne	3:1
Club Friendly
28.07.21	Olympique Marseille - Saint-Étienne	2:1
French Ligue 1
09.05.21	Saint-Étienne - Olympique Marseille	1:0
17.09.20	Olympique Marseille - Saint-Étienne	0:2

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