Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium (Piraeus)

Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Olympiacos Piraeus		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.7	2.55
	2.58	3.7	2.62
	2.62	3.72	2.65
	2.49	3.69	2.64	Watch
	2.56	3.78	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.49)	3.72 ↑ (3.69)	2.65 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympiacos Piraeus
37.7%

Draw
25.9%

PSV Eindhoven
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

25.8%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

26.5%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympiacos Piraeus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	20.5%	52.3%

Olympiacos Piraeus - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Olympiacos will win (votes: 12 - 27.3%). PSV will win (votes: 23 - 52.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 20.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 37.5% – 67.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. PSV (votes: 11 - 50%). Tie (votes: 11 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - PSV (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. PSV (votes: 13 - 54.2%). Tie (votes: 11 - 45.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Tzolakis K. (G) 23. Rodinei 45. Retsos P. (C) 5. Pirola L. 3. Ortega F. 96. Mouzakitis C. 14. Garcia D. 10. Martins G. 22. Chiquinho 56. Podence D. 9. El Kaabi A.	32. Kovar M. (G) 8. Dest S. 22. Schouten J. (C) 3. Gasiorowski Y. 2. Salah-Eddine A. 34. Saibari I. 17. Mauro Junior 23. Veerman J. 27. Man D. 20. Til G. 5. Perisic I.
Substitutes
4. Biancone G. 20. Costinha 6. Kalogeropoulos A. 61. Kouraklis G. (G) 8. Nascimento D. 70. Onyemaechi B. 1. Paschalakis A. (G) 80. Pnevmonidis S. 16. Scipioni L. 27. Strefezza G. 99. Taremi M. 11. Yaremchuk R.	19. Bajraktarevic E. 21. Boadu M. 11. Driouech C. 6. Flamingo R. 39. Nagalo A. 4. Obispo A. 1. Olij N. (G) 9. Pepi R. 25. Sildillia K. 51. Smolenaars T. (G) 10. Wanner P.
Coaches
Mendilibar J. L.	Bosz P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Martins G. ⚽, Chiquinho (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Til G. ↓, Pepi R. ↑,
58', Man D. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,
63', Garcia D. ↓, Nascimento D. ↑,
63', Perisic I. 🟨,
67', Salah-Eddine A. ↓, Wanner P. ↑,
68', Perisic I. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
73', Chiquinho ↓, Taremi M. ↑,
83', El Kaabi A. ↓, Scipioni L. ↑,
83', Podence D. ↓, Costinha ↑,
84', Saibari I. ↓, Boadu M. ↑,
89', Scipioni L. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Pepi R. ⚽,

Preview

Olympiacos is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

PSV is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

PSV may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Olympiacos: Angelakis K. (Inactive) Botis N. (Inactive) Cabella R. (Inactive) Gustavo Mancha (Inactive) Hezze S. (Red Card) Vezo R. (Inactive) Yazici Y. (Inactive)

There will not play in PSV: Kuhn W. (Knee Injury) Plea A. (Knee Injury) van Bommel R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Olympiacos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.7:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Olympiacos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League
01.11.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Aris	2:1 ✺
Greek Cup
29.10.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Volos	5:0 ✺
Greek Super League
26.10.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - AEK Athens	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	Barcelona - Olympiacos Piraeus	6:1 ✺
Greek Super League
18.10.25	AEL Larissa - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWLW
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
31.10.25	PSV Eindhoven - Fortuna Sittard	5:2 ✺
26.10.25	Feyenoord - PSV Eindhoven	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	PSV Eindhoven - Napoli	6:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.25	PSV Eindhoven - Go Ahead Eagles	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Zwolle - PSV Eindhoven	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
25.02.21	PSV Eindhoven - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:1
18.02.21	Olympiacos Piraeus - PSV Eindhoven	4:2
Club Friendly
24.07.18	PSV Eindhoven - Olympiacos Piraeus	4:0

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