Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium (Piraeus) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 7, SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 1
Albania	21:00	Tring Sport 6
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 8
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 7, Pickx+ Sports 7, Play Sports Golf
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	17:00	HBO Max
Canada	15:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 7
Germany	21:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	20:00	SÝN Sport 5
India	01:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	14:00	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 1
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 7
Portugal	20:00	DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Action, SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 1
South America	—	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	05:00	SPOTV Now
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 7
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	23:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus


	Olympiacos Piraeus		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.7	2.55
	2.58	3.7	2.62
	2.62	3.72	2.65
	2.49	3.69	2.64	Watch
	2.56	3.78	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.49)	3.72 ↑ (3.69)	2.65 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympiacos Piraeus
37.7%

Draw
25.9%

PSV Eindhoven
36.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.2%

25.8%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

26.5%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympiacos Piraeus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	20.5%	52.3%

Olympiacos Piraeus - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Olympiacos will win (votes: 12 - 27.3%). PSV will win (votes: 23 - 52.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 20.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 37.5% – 67.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. PSV (votes: 11 - 50%). Tie (votes: 11 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - PSV (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. PSV (votes: 13 - 54.2%). Tie (votes: 11 - 45.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Tzolakis K. (G) 23. Rodinei 45. Retsos P. (C) 5. Pirola L. 3. Ortega F. 96. Mouzakitis C. 14. Garcia D. 10. Martins G. 22. Chiquinho 56. Podence D. 9. El Kaabi A.	32. Kovar M. (G) 8. Dest S. 22. Schouten J. (C) 3. Gasiorowski Y. 2. Salah-Eddine A. 34. Saibari I. 17. Mauro Junior 23. Veerman J. 27. Man D. 20. Til G. 5. Perisic I.
Substitutes
4. Biancone G. 20. Costinha 6. Kalogeropoulos A. 61. Kouraklis G. (G) 8. Nascimento D. 70. Onyemaechi B. 1. Paschalakis A. (G) 80. Pnevmonidis S. 16. Scipioni L. 27. Strefezza G. 99. Taremi M. 11. Yaremchuk R.	19. Bajraktarevic E. 21. Boadu M. 11. Driouech C. 6. Flamingo R. 39. Nagalo A. 4. Obispo A. 1. Olij N. (G) 9. Pepi R. 25. Sildillia K. 51. Smolenaars T. (G) 10. Wanner P.
Coaches
Mendilibar J. L.	Bosz P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Martins G. ⚽, Chiquinho (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Til G. ↓, Pepi R. ↑,
58', Man D. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,
63', Garcia D. ↓, Nascimento D. ↑,
63', Perisic I. 🟨,
67', Salah-Eddine A. ↓, Wanner P. ↑,
68', Perisic I. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
73', Chiquinho ↓, Taremi M. ↑,
83', El Kaabi A. ↓, Scipioni L. ↑,
83', Podence D. ↓, Costinha ↑,
84', Saibari I. ↓, Boadu M. ↑,
89', Scipioni L. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Pepi R. ⚽,

Preview

Olympiacos is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

PSV is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

PSV may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Olympiacos: Angelakis K. (Inactive) Botis N. (Inactive) Cabella R. (Inactive) Gustavo Mancha (Inactive) Hezze S. (Red Card) Vezo R. (Inactive) Yazici Y. (Inactive)

There will not play in PSV: Kuhn W. (Knee Injury) Plea A. (Knee Injury) van Bommel R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Olympiacos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.7:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Olympiacos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League
01.11.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Aris	2:1 ✺
Greek Cup
29.10.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Volos	5:0 ✺
Greek Super League
26.10.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - AEK Athens	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	Barcelona - Olympiacos Piraeus	6:1 ✺
Greek Super League
18.10.25	AEL Larissa - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWLW
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
31.10.25	PSV Eindhoven - Fortuna Sittard	5:2 ✺
26.10.25	Feyenoord - PSV Eindhoven	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	PSV Eindhoven - Napoli	6:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.25	PSV Eindhoven - Go Ahead Eagles	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Zwolle - PSV Eindhoven	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
25.02.21	PSV Eindhoven - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:1
18.02.21	Olympiacos Piraeus - PSV Eindhoven	4:2
Club Friendly
24.07.18	PSV Eindhoven - Olympiacos Piraeus	4:0

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