Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 1

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Vélodrome (Marseille)

Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Football
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2
Austria	Laola1
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Brazil	Xsports
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 3
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Ligue 1+
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2


	Olympique Marseille		Strasbourg

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.1	4.5	Watch
	1.72	4.10	4.33
	1.72	3.85	4.4	Watch
	1.75	4.15	4.62
	1.76	4.11	4.23	Watch
	1.71	4.05	4.55
	1.79	4.37	4.4	Watch
	1.73	4.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 (1.74)	4.12 ↑ (4.04)	4.44 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympique Marseille
55.1%

Draw
23.3%

Strasbourg
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

23.5%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	13.3%	0%

Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Marseille (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Strasbourg (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (38 of 44 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.22% – 96.5%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Marseille (votes: 2 - 50%). Strasbourg (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. De Lange J. (G) 22. Weah T. (C) 4. Egan-Riley C. 19. Kondogbia G. 33. Emerson 8. Abdelli H. 23. Hojbjerg P. 7. Gomes A. 77. Harit A. 9. Gouiri A. 14. Paixao I.	1. Jorgensen F. (G) 22. Doue G. (C) 2. Omobamidele A. 24. Hogsberg L. 16. Antwi G. 23. Sousa D. 29. El Mourabet S. 7. Amo-Ameyaw S. 11. Nanasi S. 80. Yassine G. 14. Mara S.
Substitutes
48. Abdallah K. 21. Aguerd N. 74. Bezahaf K. 13. Cornelius D. 25. Garcia U. 11. Maupay N. 43. Mmadi T. 6. Nnadi T. 92. Vermot T. (G)	17. Amougou M. 19. Balde F. 15. Del Blanco M. 21. Demba P. 37. Kodia G. 4. Mitchell J. 30. Ortega J. 12. Piekutowski M. (G) 10. Reyna G.
Coaches
Genesio B.	Oliveira H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Gouiri A. ⚽, Gomes A. (A),
48', Amo-Ameyaw S. 🟨,
59', El Mourabet S. 🟥,
61', Mara S. 🟨,
66', 2 - 0, Gouiri A. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Amo-Ameyaw S. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
69', Sousa D. ↓, Demba P. ↑,
69', Mara S. ↓, Ortega J. ↑,
75', Egan-Riley C. ↓, Aguerd N. ↑,
79', Antwi G. ↓, Del Blanco M. ↑,
79', Aguerd N. 🟨,
79', Nanasi S. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
83', Kondogbia G. ↓, Cornelius D. ↑,
83', Abdelli H. ↓, Nnadi T. ↑,
83', Harit A. ↓, Abdallah K. ↑,
89', 3 - 0, Abdallah K. ⚽,
90+1', Gomes A. ↓, Maupay N. ↑,
90+6', 4 - 0, Hojbjerg P. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 1.

Strasbourg has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Marseille is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Marseille: Timber Q. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Strasbourg: Panichelli J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Marseille: Balerdi L. (Calf Injury) Moumbagna F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Strasbourg: Chilwell B. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:21. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:12. (average 2:1.1).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Marseille: 1.57% Strasbourg: 0.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10:10	0	7
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7:8	-1	3

Last Results with these Odds

Olympique Marseille - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 54.51%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Marseille
Club Friendly
14.08.26	Olympique Marseille - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Olympique Marseille - Al-Shahania	3:0 ✺
30.07.26	Olympique Marseille - Nîmes	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Olympique Marseille - Nice	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.05.26	Olympique Marseille - Rennes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWLW
- RC Strasbourg
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Newcastle United - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
04.08.26	Strasbourg - Elversberg	2:5 ✺
01.08.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Strasbourg	4:3 ✺
25.07.26	Strasbourg - Blackburn Rovers	0:2 ✺
20.07.26	Sporting Lisbon - Strasbourg	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
14.02.26	Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg	2:2
26.09.25	Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille	1:2
19.01.25	Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg	1:1
29.09.24	Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille	1:0
12.01.24	Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg	1:1
25.11.23	Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille	1:1
12.03.23	Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg	2:2

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