Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 11

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: NACK5 Stadium Omiya (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Omiya Ardija		Júbilo Iwata

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.95	4.45	Watch
	1.61	4.1	4.8
	1.63	4.23	4.55	Watch
	1.53	4	4.4
	1.64	4.18	4.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.84)	4.09 ↑ (3.72)	4.55 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omiya Ardija
57.4%

Draw
22.4%

Júbilo Iwata
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

24.9%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

23.9%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omiya Ardija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Omiya Ardija's performance.

Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Omiya Ardija - Júbilo Iwata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Glover T. (G) 37. Sekiguchi K. 5. Gabriel 88. Nishio R. 3. Kato H. 15. Nakayama K. 7. Kojima M. 45. Yamamoto O. 11. Caprini 14. Izumi T. 20. Hidaka H.	1. Kawashima E. (G) 20. Kato D. 30. Yamazaki K. 52. Van den Bergh J. 7. Uehara R. 2. Kawasaki I. 50. Uemura H. 48. Aida Y. 4. Matsubara K. 9. Watanabe R. 11. Matheus Peixoto
Substitutes
6. Ishikawa T. 17. Kanda T. 1. Kasahara T. (G) 8. Kaua Diniz 27. Matsui T. 22. Motegi R. 34. Murakami Y. 23. Sugimoto K. 33. Wada T.	77. Fujiwara K. 16. Gustavo Silva 18. Inoue S. 33. Kawai T. 25. Koike N. 66. Masuda S. 21. Miura R. (G) 3. Morioka R. 27. Sato R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Caprini 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Izumi T. ⚽,
35', Watanabe R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', Aida Y. 🟨,
57', Caprini ↓, Sugimoto K. ↑,
61', Aida Y. ↓, Gustavo Silva ↑,
61', Matsubara K. ↓, Inoue S. ↑,
71', Watanabe R. ↓, Kawai T. ↑,
71', Uemura H. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Gustavo Silva ⚽,
81', Hidaka H. ↓, Matsui T. ↑,
81', Nakayama K. ↓, Kaua Diniz ↑,
81', Uehara R. ↓, Fujiwara K. ↑,
87', Izumi T. ↓, Ishikawa T. ↑,
90+8', 1 - 2, Sato R. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Omiya won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Omiya is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Omiya won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:28. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Omiya won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 J3 League
12.04.26	Matsumoto Yamaga - Omiya Ardija	4:1 ✺
04.04.26	Omiya Ardija - Gifu	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Ventforet Kofu - Omiya Ardija	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Júbilo Iwata - Omiya Ardija	1:4 ✺
14.03.26	Omiya Ardija - Fujieda MYFC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWL
- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 J3 League
12.04.26	Nagano Parceiro - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 penalties ✺
04.04.26	Júbilo Iwata - Ventforet Kofu	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Iwaki - Júbilo Iwata	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Júbilo Iwata - Omiya Ardija	1:4 ✺
14.03.26	Júbilo Iwata - Consadole Sapporo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
21.03.26	Júbilo Iwata - Omiya Ardija	1:4
Japan J2 League
27.09.25	Júbilo Iwata - Omiya Ardija	3:4
31.05.25	Omiya Ardija - Júbilo Iwata	2:2
09.09.23	Júbilo Iwata - Omiya Ardija	3:2
11.03.23	Omiya Ardija - Júbilo Iwata	1:0
30.10.21	Omiya Ardija - Júbilo Iwata	1:2
21.04.21	Júbilo Iwata - Omiya Ardija	3:2

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