Match Info

J2 League - Round 9

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Unilever Stadium Shintomi (Miyazaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tegevajaro Miyazaki		Omiya Ardija

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.25	2.50
	2.50	3.25	2.40
	2.55	3.35	2.50	Watch
	2.78	3.52	2.52
	2.65	3.49	2.5	Watch
	2.70	3.45	2.45
	2.70	3.25	2.55	Watch
	2.55	3.40	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.88)	3.37 ↓ (3.41)	2.49 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
35.2%

Draw
27.5%

Omiya Ardija
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

27%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

27%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Omiya Ardija Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tegevajaro Miyazaki will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Omiya will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Tegevajaro Miyazaki (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tegevajaro Miyazaki (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mogi S. (G) 24. Matsumoto Y. 33. Kuroki K. 45. Tanaka S. 39. Shimokawa Y. 8. Yamauchi R. 14. Iesaka Y. 7. Ano M. 47. Okumura K. 99. Murakoshi K. 9. Hashimoto K.	24. Glover T. (G) 37. Sekiguchi K. 88. Nishio R. 19. Ozaki Y. 3. Kato H. 15. Nakayama K. 16. Kato G. 10. Toyokawa Y. 11. Caprini 9. Carlinhos Junior 14. Izumi T.
Substitutes
15. Abe T. 10. Inoue R. 31. Kimura R. (G) 42. Matsumoto K. 26. Miyawaki S. 18. Sato R. 29. Tanaka Y. 13. Tsutsumi S. 5. Watanabe E.	13. Iyoha O. 1. Kasahara T. (G) 8. Kaua Diniz 44. Kidera S. 77. Kobayashi Y. 49. McGhee J. 22. Motegi R. 23. Sugimoto K. 18. Yamamoto O.
Coaches
Okuma Y.	Pelach N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Toyokawa Y. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Okumura K. ⚽, Ano M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Toyokawa Y. ↓, Kaua Diniz ↑,
54', Ozaki Y. ↓, Sugimoto K. ↑,
62', Iesaka Y. 🟨,
66', Kato H. ↓, Yamamoto O. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Kaua Diniz ⚽, Carlinhos Junior (A),
85', Ano M. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
85', Iesaka Y. ↓, Watanabe E. ↑,
89', Murakoshi K. ↓, Inoue R. ↑,
90+3', Nakayama K. ↓, Iyoha O. ↑,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 11th and 4th in the Promotion - J2 League (Promotion: )).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Tegevajaro Miyazaki has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:5 (averaging 0.5:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tegevajaro Miyazaki against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Omiya Ardija	10	5	5	0	20:9	11	20
10	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	10	3	4	3	14:14	0	13

Last Results with these Odds

Tegevajaro Miyazaki - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.96%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J2 League
26.09.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Consadole Sapporo	3:2 ✺
18.09.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Fujieda MYFC	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Sagan Tosu - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kataller Toyama	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWLL
- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 League
26.09.26	Omiya Ardija - Ventforet Kofu	5:1 ✺
19.09.26	Fujieda MYFC - Omiya Ardija	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Omiya Ardija - Oita Trinita	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Blaublitz Akita - Omiya Ardija	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Gainare Tottori - Omiya Ardija	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
27.07.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Omiya Ardija	0:2
23.03.24	Omiya Ardija - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	3:1

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