Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 24

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday

Location: NACK5 Stadium Omiya (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Omiya Ardija		Zweigen Kanazawa

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	3.9
	1.83	3.5	3.75	Watch
	1.86	3.53	4.05
	1.79	3.52	4.07
	1.75	3.3	3.9
	1.78	3.46	4.07	Watch
	1.83	3.5	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.84)	3.46 ↓ (3.5)	3.93 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omiya Ardija
50.6%

Draw
26.3%

Zweigen Kanazawa
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

26.6%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

28.9%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Omiya Ardija have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Zweigen Kanazawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zweigen Kanazawa than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Omiya Ardija - Zweigen Kanazawa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kasahara T. (G) 34. Murakami Y. 4. Ichihara R. 5. Urakami N. 20. Shimoguchi W. 33. Wada T. 7. Kojima M. 14. Izumi T. 23. Sugimoto K. 6. Ishikawa T. 90. Sunday O.	31. Ueda I. (G) 4. Inoue R. 3. Hatao H. 55. Taira T. 25. Kojima M. 15. Nishiya Y. 8. Oyama K. 14. Ishihara T. 6. Kajiura Y. 24. Nishiya K. 9. Toshida Y.
Substitutes
42. Fujii K. 9. Gonzalez F. 26. Hamada M. 22. Motegi R. 17. Nakano K. 49. Osawa T. 40. Shimura K. (G)	18. Kumagai A. 16. Mori S. 30. Otani H. 10. Shimada S. 1. Shirai Y. (G) 11. Sugiura K. 38. Yamamoto N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Sunday O. ⚽, Ishikawa T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Taira T. 🟨,
63', Ishikawa T. ↓, Osawa T. ↑,
65', Oyama K. ↓, Kumagai A. ↑,
65', Toshida Y. ↓, Sugiura K. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Sunday O. ⚽,
76', Izumi T. ↓, Motegi R. ↑,
76', Nishiya K. ↓, Otani H. ↑,
76', Inoue R. ↓, Shimada S. ↑,
85', Sugimoto K. ↓, Fujii K. ↑,
85', Sunday O. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
87', Nishiya Y. ↓, Mori S. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Omiya won 4.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Omiya is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Omiya won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Omiya won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J3 League
27.07.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Omiya Ardija	0:2 ✺
20.07.24	Osaka - Omiya Ardija	0:0 ✺
13.07.24	Omiya Ardija - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:0 ✺
06.07.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Omiya Ardija	3:1 ✺
29.06.24	Omiya Ardija - Grulla Morioka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTWLW
- Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan J3 League
27.07.24	Sagamihara - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:1 ✺
20.07.24	Zweigen Kanazawa - Vanraure Hachinohe	1:0 ✺
14.07.24	Imabari - Zweigen Kanazawa	3:0 ✺
06.07.24	Zweigen Kanazawa - Nagano Parceiro	3:0 ✺
30.06.24	Ryūkyū - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
09.06.24	Zweigen Kanazawa - Omiya Ardija	0:1
Japan J2 League
30.07.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Omiya Ardija	1:2
25.02.23	Omiya Ardija - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:0
26.06.22	Omiya Ardija - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:1
01.05.22	Zweigen Kanazawa - Omiya Ardija	1:2
09.10.21	Omiya Ardija - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:2
06.06.21	Zweigen Kanazawa - Omiya Ardija	1:0

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