Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 22

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Hanazono Rugby Stadium (Higashiosaka)


	Osaka		Omiya Ardija

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.1
	3.1	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.11	3.25	2.24
	3.51	3.22	2.03	Watch
	3	3.1	2.1
	3.14	3.13	2.19	Watch
	3.1	3.15	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.47)	3.16 ↓ (3.4)	2.14 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Osaka
28.9%

Draw
28.7%

Omiya Ardija
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

26.7%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

26%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Omiya Ardija could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Osaka - Omiya Ardija Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nagai T. (G) 2. Mima K. 23. Akiyama T. 3. Saito R. 6. Tachino S. 10. Kubo R. 16. Shimozawa Y. 25. Takei S. 11. Tone R. 43. Nishimura M. 34. Furukawa D.	1. Kasahara T. (G) 34. Murakami Y. 26. Hamada M. 5. Urakami N. 20. Shimoguchi W. 7. Kojima M. 14. Izumi T. 30. Arthur Silva 6. Ishikawa T. (C) 42. Fujii K. 23. Sugimoto K.
Substitutes
22. Hayashida K. 98. Joao Moura 29. Kang Seong-kook (G) 19. Masuda S. 21. Mochizuki S. 38. Natsukawa Y. 14. Tanaka N.	39. Izumisawa J. 22. Motegi R. 49. Osawa T. 40. Shimura K. (G) 90. Sunday O. 28. Tomiyama T. 33. Wada T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fujii K. ↓, Sunday O. ↑,
57', Sugimoto K. 🟨,
72', Tone R. ↓, Tanaka N. ↑,
73', Nishimura M. ↓, Mochizuki S. ↑,
73', Ishikawa T. ↓, Wada T. ↑,
73', Izumi T. ↓, Motegi R. ↑,
75', Furukawa D. ↓, Masuda S. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Osaka
Japan J3 League
14.07.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Osaka	2:0 ✺
06.07.24	Osaka - Kataller Toyama	0:0 ✺
29.06.24	Osaka - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	4:1 ✺
23.06.24	Fukushima United - Osaka	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Osaka - Gainare Tottori	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWLW
- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J3 League
13.07.24	Omiya Ardija - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:0 ✺
06.07.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Omiya Ardija	3:1 ✺
29.06.24	Omiya Ardija - Grulla Morioka	2:0 ✺
22.06.24	Omiya Ardija - Ryūkyū	3:2 ✺
16.06.24	Kataller Toyama - Omiya Ardija	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
06.04.24	Omiya Ardija - Osaka	1:0

Upcoming Matches