Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Neo GSP Stadium (Nicosia)

Referee: Gidzhenov R. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 15
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+


	Omonia		Legia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	2.88
	2.3	3.4	2.65
	2.4	3.5	2.8	Watch
	2.45	3.6	2.84
	2.37	3.61	2.73
	2.4	3.25	2.62
	2.49	3.51	2.86
	2.4	3.5	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 (2.4)	3.48 ↑ (3.3)	2.77 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Omonia
39.2%

Draw
26.9%

Legia Warsaw
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

27.8%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

29.2%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omonia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	57.1%	21.4%

Omonia - Legia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Omonia will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Legia will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Fabiano Freitas (G) 2. Dionkou A. 5. Coulibaly S. 30. Panagiotou N. 24. Khammas A. 17. Masouras G. 20. Maric M. 31. Kousoulos I. (C) 21. Simic V. 14. Stepinski M. 7. Semedo W.	27. Kobylak G. (G) 13. Wszolek P. 12. Pankov R. 3. Kapuadi S. 19. Vinagre R. 67. Kapustka B. (C) 8. Augustyniak R. 25. Morishita R. 11. Chodyna K. 28. Gual M. 82. Luquinhas
Substitutes
99. Alioum S. 10. Atzili O. 76. Charalampous C. 80. Erakovic N. 11. Ewandro 4. Helander F. 9. Kakoullis A. 3. Kitsos F. 98. Kyriakidis C. (G) 22. Lang A. 75. Loizou L. 23. Uzoho F. (G)	17. Alfarela M. 21. Celhaka J. 55. Jedrzejczyk A. 23. Kun P. 99. Majchrzak J. 31. Mendes-Dudzinski M. (G) 7. Pekhart T. 42. Sergio Barcia 71. Szczepaniak M. 50. Wojciech B. (G) 24. Ziolkowski J.
Coaches
Dambrauskas V.	Feio G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Morishita R. ⚽, Gual M. (A),
25', Morishita R. 🟨,
27', Maric M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Masouras G. ↓, Alioum S. ↑,
46', Kousoulos I. ↓, Erakovic N. ↑,
60', Stepinski M. ↓, Kakoullis A. ↑,
63', Morishita R. ↓, Celhaka J. ↑,
63', Vinagre R. ↓, Kun P. ↑,
76', Chodyna K. ↓, Szczepaniak M. ↑,
76', Semedo W. ↓, Ewandro ↑,
77', 0 - 2, Szczepaniak M. ⚽, Augustyniak R. (A),
82', Simic V. ↓, Loizou L. ↑,
85', Gual M. ↓, Majchrzak J. ↑,
86', 0 - 3, Kakoullis A. (Own goal),
89', Kapustka B. 🟨,
90+2', Ewandro 🟨,

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Legia: Elitim J. (Knee Injury) Mustafaev R. (Knee Injury) Oyedele M. (Ankle Injury) Tobiasz K. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Omonia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omonia Nicosia
Cypriot First Division
23.11.24	Omonia - Apollon Limassol	3:1 ✺
10.11.24	Omonia Aradippou - Omonia	3:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.11.24	Gent - Omonia	1:0 ✺
Cypriot First Division
02.11.24	Omonia - Omonia 29is Maiou	1:1 ✺
28.10.24	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Omonia	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLTW
- Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.11.24	Legia Warsaw - Cracovia	3:2 ✺
10.11.24	Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw	5:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.11.24	Legia Warsaw - Dinamo Minsk	4:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.11.24	Legia Warsaw - Widzew Łódź	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
31.10.24	Miedź Legnica - Legia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
26.08.20	Legia Warsaw - Omonia	0:2 ET

Upcoming Matches