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Current Win Probability
Once Deportivo Ahuachapan 20.7%
Draw 28%
Águila 51.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.1%
28.2%
42.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.3%
26.5%
45.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Once Deportivo Ahuachapan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Once Deportivo Ahuachapan's form might have worsened.
Águila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Águila's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Deportivo Ahuachapan than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Once Deportivo Ahuachapan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águila than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Águila, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Águila Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Once Deportivo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Águila will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Gil J. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Diaz G. ⚽,
23', 1 - 2, Sosa B. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
78', 🟥,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Once Deportivo won 1.
Once Deportivo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Águila is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Once Deportivo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Once Deportivo have a series of guest games.
Águila will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 18 head-to-head matches Once Deportivo won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17:23 (average 0.9:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Once Deportivo won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.6:1.1).