Match Info

USL League One

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Regal Stadium (Knoxville, TN)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	One Knoxville		Westchester SC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.63	3.75	4.10
	1.62	3.85	4
	1.67	4	4.17
	1.67	4.18	4.3	Watch
	1.63	3.85	4.05
	1.61	3.84	4.4	Watch
	1.63	3.9	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.58)	3.91 ↑ (3.8)	4.15 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

One Knoxville
55.1%

Draw
23.1%

Westchester SC
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

23.4%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

22%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

One Knoxville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Westchester SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Westchester SC than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

One Knoxville - Westchester SC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Garibay J. (G) 26. Brown J. 4. Skelton J. (C) 3. McRobb F. 22. Perkins W. 8. Murphy Jr. J. 17. Goling M. 89. Baker T. 19. Conway E. 9. Krioutchenkov D. 70. Diop M.	99. Marinelli L. (G) 77. Burko D. 5. Timchenko T. 14. Loura J. 3. Dickerson C. 27. Jimenez J. 6. McGlynn C. (C) 83. Evans K. 8. Bouman D. 9. Blommestijn K. 18. Mackic E.
Substitutes
32. Burke J. (G) 27. Cook E. 7. Diene B. 11. Linhares K. 77. Rosamilia N. 99. Uderitz B. 23. Williams D. 21. Zarokostas S.	1. Hammersley A. (G) 2. Jennings M. 7. Powder S. 11. Vasquez B. 40. Williams M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bouman D. ↓, Jennings M. ↑,
62', Krioutchenkov D. ↓, Diene B. ↑,
62', Diop M. ↓, Rosamilia N. ↑,
68', Jimenez J. ↓, Powder S. ↑,
71', Goling M. 🟨,
73', Conway E. ↓, Zarokostas S. ↑,
73', Brown J. ↓, Uderitz B. ↑,
90+3', Dickerson C. ↓, Williams M. ↑,
90+5', Loura J. 🟨,
90+8', Blommestijn K. 🟨,
90+8', Skelton J. 🟨,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ USL League One PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 14th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Recently, One Knoxville has faced a series of away games on the road.

Bookmakers give the edge to One Knoxville for this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, One Knoxville has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 1.7:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for One Knoxville against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	One Knoxville	30	14	9	7	49:34	15	51
11	Westchester SC	29	9	6	14	48:46	2	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- One Knoxville SC
USL League One
19.09.26	Union Omaha - One Knoxville	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Fort Wayne - One Knoxville	2:3 ✺
11.09.26	One Knoxville - Naples	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	AV Alta - One Knoxville	1:2 ✺
02.09.26	Forward Madison - One Knoxville	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWTWT
- Westchester SC
USL League One
19.09.26	New York Cosmos - Westchester SC	1:2 ✺
16.09.26	Westchester SC - Richmond Kickers	5:2 ✺
12.09.26	Charlotte Independence - Westchester SC	5:4 ✺
06.09.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Westchester SC	2:1 ✺
02.09.26	Westchester SC - Chattanooga Red Wolves	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
07.03.26	Westchester SC - One Knoxville	2:3
19.07.25	One Knoxville - Westchester SC	1:1
07.06.25	Westchester SC - One Knoxville	1:1

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