Match Info

USL League One

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Regal Stadium (Knoxville, TN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	One Knoxville		Naples

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.60	4.20
	1.63	3.65	4.35
	1.68	3.81	4.58
	1.67	3.96	4.6	Watch
	1.64	3.80	4.55
	1.72	3.85	4.38	Watch
	1.68	3.50	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.63)	3.74 ↑ (3.65)	4.41 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

One Knoxville
54.8%

Draw
24.4%

Naples
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

24.5%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

23.7%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

One Knoxville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Naples has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naples than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

One Knoxville - Naples Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Burke J. (G) 22. Perkins W. 5. McLeod S. 3. McRobb F. 99. Uderitz B. 89. Baker T. 6. Caputo A. (C) 70. Diop M. 19. Conway E. 7. Diene B. 9. Krioutchenkov D.	1. Delgado L. (C) 20. Yearwood J. 4. Uderitz H. 5. Mastrantonio L. 3. Cisneros J. 8. Osorio J. 9. Miglietti G. 23. Mesias A. 21. Torrellas M. 14. O'Connor K. 45. Likulia N.
Substitutes
13. Bull 27. Cook E. 10. Gill R. 17. Goling M. 24. Lemen N. (G) 8. Murphy Jr. J. 77. Rosamilia N. 23. Williams D.	30. Cerro I. 6. Ciss O. 24. Collins T. 10. Ferrin A. 12. Gay H. 99. Grant J. (G) 31. Rose T.
Coaches
Fuller I.	Gordon Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Osorio J. ↓, Collins T. ↑,
46', Krioutchenkov D. ↓, Goling M. ↑,
46', Conway E. ↓, Gill R. ↑,
46', Diop M. ↓, Rosamilia N. ↑,
49', Uderitz H. 🟨,
61', McLeod S. ↓, Bull ↑,
66', O'Connor K. ↓, Ferrin A. ↑,
66', Mesias A. ↓, Ciss O. ↑,
71', Cisneros J. ↓, Gay H. ↑,
79', Caputo A. ↓, Murphy Jr. J. ↑,
85', McRobb F. 🟨,
88', Gay H. 🟨,
90+4', Ferrin A. 🟨,
90+9', Uderitz H. ↓, Rose T. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, One Knoxville is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.3:0).

Including home matches between the teams, One Knoxville won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	One Knoxville ✔	30	14	9	7	49:34	15	51
9	FC Naples	29	11	4	14	34:44	-10	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- One Knoxville SC
USL League One
05.09.26	AV Alta - One Knoxville	1:2 ✺
02.09.26	Forward Madison - One Knoxville	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	One Knoxville - Boise	2:2 ✺
19.08.26	One Knoxville - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Greenville Triumph - One Knoxville	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTTTT
- FC Naples
USL League One
05.09.26	Naples - Boise	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Greenville Triumph - Naples	4:0 ✺
26.08.26	Naples - Union Omaha	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	AV Alta - Naples	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Westchester SC - Naples	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
02.05.26	Naples - One Knoxville	0:3
08.11.25	One Knoxville - Naples	1:0
27.08.25	One Knoxville - Naples	0:0
19.04.25	Naples - One Knoxville	0:1

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