Match Info

USL League One

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ruoff Mortgage Stadium (Fort Wayne, IN)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fort Wayne		One Knoxville

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.35	2.8
	2.12	3.56	3.13
	2.28	3.68	2.78	Watch
	2.25	3.65	2.6
	2.05	3.35	3.1	Watch
	2.11	3.45	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.48)	3.51 ↑ (3.25)	2.87 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fort Wayne
42.3%

Draw
26%

One Knoxville
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

27.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

27.7%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fort Wayne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fort Wayne's performance.

One Knoxville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fort Wayne than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fort Wayne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Fort Wayne - One Knoxville Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - One Knoxville (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. One Knoxville (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schipmann B. (G) 6. Jordan J. 19. Solis J. 41. Musa J. (C) 13. Rempel M. 18. Nieto E. 86. Armas J. 12. Gafar K. 11. Healy T. 10. Awoudor C. 21. Becher R.	32. Burke J. (G) 22. Perkins W. 13. Bull 3. McRobb F. (C) 99. Uderitz B. 89. Baker T. 6. Caputo A. 8. Murphy Jr. J. 77. Rosamilia N. 70. Diop M. 7. Diene B.
Substitutes
20. Burns N. 96. Echevarria A. (G) 8. Garay J. 33. Hagaman T. 25. Jiana M. 17. Neidlinger L. 2. Smith J. 23. Thomas J. 3. Vukovic A.	26. Brown J. 19. Conway E. 25. Garibay J. (G) 10. Gill R. 17. Goling M. 9. Krioutchenkov D. 4. Skelton J.
Coaches
Avery M.	Fuller I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Musa J. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Becher R. ⚽,
41', Uderitz B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
49', Caputo A. 🟨,
56', Perkins W. 🟨,
59', Diene B. ↓, Krioutchenkov D. ↑,
59', Caputo A. ↓, Gill R. ↑,
59', Rosamilia N. ↓, Goling M. ↑,
70', Healy T. ↓, Jiana M. ↑,
70', Uderitz B. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Diop M. ⚽, Gill R. (A),
74', 2 - 2, Baker T. ⚽, Krioutchenkov D. (A),
80', Nieto E. ↓, Garay J. ↑,
81', Gafar K. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
81', Diop M. ↓, Conway E. ↑,
86', Gill R. 🟨,
88', 2 - 3, Krioutchenkov D. ⚽, Goling M. (A),
89', Krioutchenkov D. 🟨,
90+1', Jordan J. ↓, Neidlinger L. ↑,
90+1', Armas J. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
90+3', Musa J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fort Wayne won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	One Knoxville ✔	30	14	9	7	49:34	15	51
8	Fort Wayne	29	11	9	9	45:37	8	42

Last Results with these Odds

One Knoxville - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.47%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fort Wayne FC
USL League One
12.09.26	Greenville Triumph - Fort Wayne	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Fort Wayne - New York Cosmos	2:4 ✺
02.09.26	Fort Wayne - Richmond Kickers	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Fort Wayne	1:4 ✺
15.08.26	Fort Wayne - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWL
- One Knoxville SC
USL League One
11.09.26	One Knoxville - Naples	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	AV Alta - One Knoxville	1:2 ✺
02.09.26	Forward Madison - One Knoxville	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	One Knoxville - Boise	2:2 ✺
19.08.26	One Knoxville - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
15.07.26	One Knoxville - Fort Wayne	2:1

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