Match Info

USL League One

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Werner Park (Papillion, NE)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Union Omaha		One Knoxville

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.80	3.50	3.50
	1.85	3.50	3.45
	1.82	3.76	4.00
	1.83	3.86	3.81	Watch
	1.78	3.70	3.85
	1.91	3.65	3.65	Watch
	1.81	3.50	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.97)	3.64 ↑ (3.4)	3.69 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Omaha
50%

Draw
25.1%

One Knoxville
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

26.3%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

25.4%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

One Knoxville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Union Omaha - One Knoxville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Jensen C. (G) 23. Boudadi Y. 4. Owusu S. 14. Kallman B. (C) 27. Jiba R. 16. Wootton L. 8. Gabriel Cabral 20. Ors Navarro S. 6. Guediri S. 17. Gutierrez D. 21. Gomez A.	25. Garibay J. (G) 22. Perkins W. 13. Bull (C) 3. McRobb F. 99. Uderitz B. 8. Murphy Jr. J. 89. Baker T. 10. Gill R. 17. Goling M. 11. Linhares K. 9. Krioutchenkov D.
Substitutes
7. Billhardt A. 9. Botello Faz P. 28. Caceres E. 25. Klein T. 19. Lawrence C. 3. Malone B. 24. Nuhu R. (G)	26. Brown J. 32. Burke J. (G) 19. Conway E. 7. Diene B. 70. Diop M. 77. Rosamilia N. 4. Skelton J.
Coaches
Candela V.	Fuller I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Gutierrez D. (Penalty Awarded),
24', Bull 🟥,
25', Fuller I. 🟥,
27', Gill R. ↓, Skelton J. ↑,
32', Perkins W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Murphy Jr. J. ⚽, Linhares K. (A),
60', Wootton L. ↓, Billhardt A. ↑,
60', Gomez A. ↓, Botello Faz P. ↑,
63', Gutierrez D. 🟨,
67', Gutierrez D. ↓, Caceres E. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Ors Navarro S. ⚽,
75', Uderitz B. ↓, Rosamilia N. ↑,
75', Krioutchenkov D. ↓, Diene B. ↑,
75', Murphy Jr. J. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
80', Linhares K. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
90+2', Ors Navarro S. ↓, Lawrence C. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ USL League One PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 4th in the Promotion ~ USL League One PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Omaha won 3.

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Union Omaha may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Union Omaha holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Union Omaha has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 12:7 (averaging 1.5:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Union Omaha against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:4 goals (averaging 1.8:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Omaha ✔	29	19	4	6	53:31	22	61
4	One Knoxville ✔	30	14	9	7	49:34	15	51

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Omaha
USL League One
16.09.26	Union Omaha - Spokane Velocity	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Corpus Christi - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Union Omaha - Charlotte Independence	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Union Omaha - New York Cosmos	1:1 ✺
26.08.26	Naples - Union Omaha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWTL
- One Knoxville SC
USL League One
16.09.26	Fort Wayne - One Knoxville	2:3 ✺
11.09.26	One Knoxville - Naples	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	AV Alta - One Knoxville	1:2 ✺
02.09.26	Forward Madison - One Knoxville	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	One Knoxville - Boise	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
13.05.26	One Knoxville - Union Omaha	1:2
21.09.25	Union Omaha - One Knoxville	2:2
16.08.25	One Knoxville - Union Omaha	1:0
21.09.24	Union Omaha - One Knoxville	1:0
12.04.24	One Knoxville - Union Omaha	0:1
05.08.23	Union Omaha - One Knoxville	3:1
18.07.23	One Knoxville - Union Omaha	1:2

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