Match Info

USL League One

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Lancaster Municipal Stadium (Lancaster, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	AV Alta		One Knoxville

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.87	3.50	2.05
	2.9	3.35	2.08
	3.03	3.64	2.08
	3.03	3.76	2.11	Watch
	2.95	3.55	2.01
	3.01	3.52	2.06	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.8)	3.53 ↑ (3.35)	2.07 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AV Alta
30.6%

Draw
25.6%

One Knoxville
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

26.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

25.9%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AV Alta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

One Knoxville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

AV Alta - One Knoxville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Gonzalez M. (G) 12. Relerford N. 4. Pajaro M. (C) 44. Pehlivanov K. 11. Aoumaich I. 6. Lay O. 7. Desdunes J. 23. Thomas R. 99. Bahena Jr C. 3. Ortiz A. 9. Acuna J.	25. Garibay J. (G) 70. Diop M. 13. Bull 3. McRobb F. 8. Murphy Jr. J. 6. Caputo A. (C) 89. Baker T. 9. Krioutchenkov D. 77. Rosamilia N. 99. Uderitz B. 22. Perkins W.
Substitutes
5. Alassane M. 20. Antwi G. 18. Aoumaich A. 16. Ceja E. 24. Higareda S. 10. Ibarra M. 2. Ortiz C. 22. Smith D. (G) 15. Winum M.	32. Burke J. (G) 19. Conway E. 7. Diene B. 10. Gill R. 17. Goling M. 5. McLeod S. 21. Zarokostas S.
Coaches
Kleiban B.	Fuller I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Murphy Jr. J. ⚽, Baker T. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Aoumaich I. ⚽, Desdunes J. (A),
37', Aoumaich I. 🟨,
38', Fuller I. 🟨,
45+2', Perkins W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Uderitz B. ↓, McLeod S. ↑,
49', Aoumaich I. 🟨,
59', Caputo A. 🟨,
60', Thomas R. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
68', Caputo A. ↓, Goling M. ↑,
68', Rosamilia N. ↓, Conway E. ↑,
69', Diop M. ↓, Gill R. ↑,
69', Desdunes J. ↓, Antwi G. ↑,
79', Lay O. ↓, Alassane M. ↑,
79', Bahena Jr C. ↓, Higareda S. ↑,
79', Acuna J. ↓, Aoumaich A. ↑,
80', Ortiz C. 🟨,
80', Kleiban B. 🟨,
82', Murphy Jr. J. ↓, Diene B. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 2, Conway E. ⚽, Krioutchenkov D. (A),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Alta is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

One Knoxville's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

One Knoxville could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Alta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	One Knoxville ✔	30	14	9	7	49:34	15	51
13	AV Alta	29	8	8	13	35:42	-7	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AV Alta FC
USL League One
28.08.26	Charlotte Independence - AV Alta	5:0 ✺
22.08.26	AV Alta - Naples	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	New York Cosmos - AV Alta	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	AV Alta - Fort Wayne	3:0 ✺
05.08.26	Naples - AV Alta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL
- One Knoxville SC
USL League One
02.09.26	Forward Madison - One Knoxville	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	One Knoxville - Boise	2:2 ✺
19.08.26	One Knoxville - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Greenville Triumph - One Knoxville	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	One Knoxville - Sarasota Paradise	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
18.07.26	One Knoxville - AV Alta	2:3
13.09.25	AV Alta - One Knoxville	1:2
16.07.25	One Knoxville - AV Alta	3:1

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