Match Info

USL League One

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Breese Stevens Field (Madison, WI)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Forward Madison		One Knoxville

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.10	3.30	2.87
	1.95	3.3	3.25
	2.08	3.67	3.32
	2.25	3.5	2.95	Watch
	2.01	3.55	3.15
	2.29	3.54	2.86	Watch
	1.96	3.35	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.18)	3.46 ↑ (3.2)	3.09 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Forward Madison
43.8%

Draw
26.5%

One Knoxville
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

27.9%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

26.9%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

One Knoxville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Forward Madison - One Knoxville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Harms J. (G) 23. Munjoma E. 20. Carmichael K. (C) 5. Shannon J. 33. Toure K. 24. Forbes J. 9. Carmichael R. 8. Segbers M. 12. Torres R. 11. Ngoubou C. 14. Gyamfi S.	25. Garibay J. (G) 22. Perkins W. 5. McLeod S. 3. McRobb F. 23. Williams D. 6. Caputo A. 89. Baker T. 19. Conway E. 17. Goling M. 10. Gill R. 7. Diene B.
Substitutes
57. Augee B. 7. Bolma J. 3. Edwards A. 99. Flores K. (G) 6. Kanyane G. 21. Karamoko H. 19. Manske T. (G) 4. McCamy C.	13. Bull 32. Burke J. (G) 9. Krioutchenkov D. 11. Linhares K. 8. Murphy Jr. J. 77. Rosamilia N. 99. Uderitz B.
Coaches
Glaeser M.	Fuller I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Segbers M. 🟨,
45+2', McRobb F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Forbes J. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
56', McLeod S. ↓, Bull ↑,
56', Williams D. ↓, Uderitz B. ↑,
66', Segbers M. ↓, Augee B. ↑,
66', Ngoubou C. ↓, Bolma J. ↑,
67', Gill R. ↓, Linhares K. ↑,
67', Goling M. ↓, Murphy Jr. J. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Conway E. ⚽, Murphy Jr. J. (A),
74', Glaeser M. 🟨,
76', Perkins W. 🟨,
77', Gyamfi S. ↓, Karamoko H. ↑,
80', Baker T. 🟨,
86', Diene B. ↓, Krioutchenkov D. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Garibay J. (Own goal),
90+7', Toure K. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

One Knoxville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Forward Madison will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Forward Madison won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Forward Madison ✔	29	15	7	7	50:27	23	52
4	One Knoxville ✔	30	14	9	7	49:34	15	51

Last Results with these Odds

Forward Madison - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41.01%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forward Madison
USL League One
29.08.26	Richmond Kickers - Forward Madison	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Forward Madison	1:2 ✺
12.08.26	Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Boise - Forward Madison	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWTL
- One Knoxville SC
USL League One
22.08.26	One Knoxville - Boise	2:2 ✺
19.08.26	One Knoxville - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Greenville Triumph - One Knoxville	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	One Knoxville - Sarasota Paradise	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Charlotte Independence - One Knoxville	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
14.03.26	One Knoxville - Forward Madison	1:2
09.08.25	Forward Madison - One Knoxville	2:2
USL Cup
28.06.25	Forward Madison - One Knoxville	1:0
USL League One
09.05.25	One Knoxville - Forward Madison	1:1
19.10.24	Forward Madison - One Knoxville	0:0
01.10.24	One Knoxville - Forward Madison	1:1
USL Cup
29.06.24	One Knoxville - Forward Madison	2:0

Upcoming Matches