Match Info

BELGIUM: BELGIAN CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 6 December 2023, Wednesday


	Oostende		Genk

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.75	1.5
	5.5	4.4	1.44
	6	4.5	1.45	Watch
	6.58	4.7	1.51
	6.58	4.56	1.43
	6.5	4.6	1.35
	6.45	4.8	1.43	Watch
	6	4.8	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.17 ↑ (5.17)	4.64 ↑ (4.36)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oostende
15.2%

Draw
20.2%

Genk
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

21.1%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

20.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oostende has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oostende than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Oostende - Genk Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Oostende will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Genk will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gabriel B. (G) 4. Basila T. 22. Decoene M. 16. Dewaele S. 8. Henderson E. 19. Osifo M. 9. Perez D. 33. Tanghe A. 25. Van Daele C. 2. Vinck J. 36. Wylin S.	1. Van Crombrugge H. (G) 19. Ait El Hadj A. 90. Bonsu Baah C. 46. Cuesta C. 77. El Ouahdi Z. 17. Hrosovsky P. 18. Kayembe J. 2. McKenzie M. 4. Ouattara A. 24. Oyen L. 9. Zeqiri A.
Coaches
Vreven S.	Vrancken W.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oostende won 2.

Oostende is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Genk is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Genk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Genk is indisputable favorite.

Last 28 head-to-head matches Oostende won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 40-49.

Including matches at home between the teams Oostende won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 28-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Oostende
Belgian Challenger Pro League
03.12.23	Oostende - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Brugge U23 - Oostende	2:2 ✺
11.11.23	Oostende - Francs Borains	1:0 ✺
03.11.23	Zulte Waregem - Oostende	0:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
31.10.23	Eupen - Oostende	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 LTWWW
- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.12.23	Genk - Gent	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.11.23	Fiorentina - Genk	2:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.11.23	Standard Liège - Genk	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Genk - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.11.23	Ferencvárosi - Genk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.02.23	Genk - Oostende	3:0
01.10.22	Oostende - Genk	1:2
26.12.21	Oostende - Genk	0:4
30.07.21	Genk - Oostende	3:4
17.02.21	Oostende - Genk	3:1
28.09.20	Genk - Oostende	2:2
07.03.20	Oostende - Genk	2:4

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