Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 30 November 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	VRT Canvas
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Italy	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Fiorentina		Genk

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	6.5
	1.47	4.2	5.5
	1.5	4.5	6	Watch
	1.51	4.43	6.58
	1.52	4.43	6.58
	1.55	4.2	5.5
	1.5	4.4	5.95
	1.48	4.8	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.55)	4.43 ↑ (4.31)	6.08 ↑ (5.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
63%

Draw
21.4%

Genk
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

21.8%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

22.6%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.6%	2.8%	16.7%

Fiorentina - Genk Predictions

Users Predictions: Fiorentina will win (29 of 36 users predict this - 80.56%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.63% – 93.49%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Christensen O. (G) 65. Parisi F. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 26. Mina Y. 3. Biraghi C. (C) 72. Barak A. 8. Lopez M. 32. Duncan A. 11. Ikone J. 99. Kouame C. 10. Gonzalez N.	1. Van Crombrugge H. (G) 23. Munoz D. 46. Cuesta C. 3. Sadick M. 18. Kayembe J. 8. Heynen B. (C) 25. Galarza M. A. 17. Hrosovsky P. 28. Paintsil J. 99. Arokodare T. 7. Fadera A.
Substitutes
73. Amatucci L. 6. Arthur Melo 9. Beltran L. 77. Brekalo J. 19. Infantino G. 33. Kayode M. 4. Milenkovic N. 18. Nzola M. 70. Pierozzi N. 16. Ranieri L. 7. Sottil R. 1. Terracciano P. (G)	19. Ait El Hadj A. 5. Arteaga G. 90. Bonsu Baah C. 30. Chambaere V. (G) 34. El Khannouss B. 15. El Ouahdi Z. 2. McKenzie M. 4. Ouattara A. 24. Oyen L. 14. Sor Y. 26. Vandevoordt M. (G) 9. Zeqiri A.
Coaches
Italiano V.	Vrancken W.

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Genk have a series of guest games.

In this match Fiorentina is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Fiorentina: Castrovilli G. (Knee Injury) Dodo (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fiorentina: Kayode M. (Leg Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
25.11.23	Milan - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Fiorentina - Bologna	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.11.23	Čukarički - Fiorentina	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
05.11.23	Fiorentina - Juventus	0:1 ✺
30.10.23	Lazio - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLL
- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.11.23	Standard Liège - Genk	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Genk - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.11.23	Ferencvárosi - Genk	1:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
04.11.23	Royal Antwerp - Genk	3:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
01.11.23	URSL Vise - Genk	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.09.23	Genk - Fiorentina	2:2

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