The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oostende 31.2%
Draw 26.7%
KV Mechelen 42.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.7%
27%
35.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.7%
26.3%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oostende has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oostende's form might have worsened.
KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KV Mechelen's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oostende than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oostende, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KV Mechelen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Oostende - KV Mechelen Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Oostende will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Mechelen will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 15.4% โ 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Oostende has the most likely position - 16 (11.09%), has project points - 36, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (30%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Mechelen has the most likely position - 12 (10.53%), has project points - 40, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (20%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality35, importance33, match rating34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Oostende won 1.
Recent matches Oostende is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Mechelen is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Mechelen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently opponents have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Oostende: D'Arpino M.
(Injury)
Katelaris F.
(Red Card)
McGeehan C.
(Injury)
There will not play in Mechelen: Bijker L.
(Knee Injury)
Mrabti K.
(Knee Injury)
Last 18 head-to-head matches Oostende won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25-27.
Including matches at home between the teams Oostende won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-12.
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