Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 28

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Operário Ferroviario		Amazonas

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.7	6.5	Watch
	1.58	3.4	6.5
	1.59	3.63	7.4
	1.55	3.7	6.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.67)	3.61 ↑ (3.45)	6.73 ↑ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
60.1%

Draw
26%

Amazonas
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

27.3%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

26.6%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Operário Ferroviario - Amazonas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Operário PR will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Operário PR (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Elias Curzel (G) 18. Gabriel Souza 16. Miranda 4. Giraldo J. 27. Gabriel Feliciano 20. Leo Cittadini 200. Indio (C) 88. Neto Paraiba 7. Rodrigo Rodrigues 10. Boschilia 89. Daniel Amorim	1. Ze Carlos (G) 3. Leo Coelho 4. Iverton 35. Rafael Monteiro 17. Guilherme Xavier 5. Vasquez L. 14. Ivan Alvarino 26. Gabriel Domingos 30. Castrillon N. 7. Ramirez K. 19. Henrique Almeida (C)
Substitutes
99. Ademilson 34. Andre 3. Charles Raphael 90. Cristiano 2. Diogo Mateus 75. Kleiton 70. Leo Gaucho 22. Leo Silva 30. Pedro Vilhena 33. Vagner (G) 9. Vinicius Mingotti 31. Vitor Pernambuco	15. Akapo C. 20. Dener 21. Erick Varao 29. Ibarguen J. C. 33. Joao Lopes (G) 77. Kiko 55. Philippe Guimaraes 93. Rafael Vitor 57. Rodriguez A. 13. Rojas H. 11. Torres J. 8. Vitao
Coaches
Alex	Marcio Zanardi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Ramirez K. ⚽, Ivan Alvarino (A),
28', Vasquez L. 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Miranda ⚽, Boschilia (A),
33', Leo Cittadini ↓, Pedro Vilhena ↑,
45+4', Iverton 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Vitor Pernambuco ↑,
60', Daniel Amorim ↓, Leo Gaucho ↑,
65', Rafael Monteiro ↓, Akapo C. ↑,
65', Guilherme Xavier ↓, Erick Varao ↑,
73', Ramirez K. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
74', Henrique Almeida ↓, Vitao ↑,
75', Akapo C. 🟨,
76', 2 - 1, Boschilia ⚽,
78', Gabriel Souza ↓, Diogo Mateus ↑,
78', Neto Paraiba ↓, Ademilson ↑,
80', Iverton ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
86', Ademilson 🟨,
90+1', Pedro Vilhena 🟨,
90+3', Torres J. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Operário PR is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Amazonas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Operário PR is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Operário PR: Filipe Claudino (Injury) Matheus Souza (Inactive) Talles (Inactive) Thiaguinho (Yellow Cards) Vagner (Inactive) Zuluaga J. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Amazonas: Alyson (Inactive) Fernando Neto (Inactive) Luan Silva (Yellow Cards) Rafael Tavares (Yellow Cards) Zabala D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Operário PR: Marcos Paulo (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Amazonas: Fabiano (Injury) Renan (Inactive) Thomas Luciano (Inactive) William Barbio (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Operário PR won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
18.09.25	Botafogo SP - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Operário Ferroviario - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	América Mineiro - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Operário Ferroviario - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Paysandu - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTTWW
- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
20.09.25	Amazonas - Volta Redonda	1:0 ✺
15.09.25	CRB Maceio - Amazonas	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Amazonas - Remo	1:3 ✺
31.08.25	Atlético Goianiense - Amazonas	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Avaí - Amazonas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
25.05.25	Amazonas - Operário Ferroviario	2:0
18.09.24	Amazonas - Operário Ferroviario	2:1
03.06.24	Operário Ferroviario - Amazonas	1:0
Brazilian Serie C
21.05.23	Amazonas - Operário Ferroviario	2:2

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