Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 23

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Leonidas Sodre de Castro (Belem)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Paysandu		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	3	Watch
	2.2	2.95	3.3
	2.18	2.98	3.45
	2.5	3.1	3.28
	2.25	2.9	3.3
	2.4	3.04	3.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.38)	3.01 ↓ (3.25)	3.25 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandu
40%

Draw
31.2%

Operário Ferroviario
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

28.6%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

29.5%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	71.4%	14.3%

Paysandu - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Operário PR will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Operário PR (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 29. Anderson Leite 20. Denner 6. Thalisson 44. Thiago Heleno (C) 27. Ramon Martinez 2. Edilson 16. Reverson 9. Diogo Oliveira 11. Marlon Douglas 10. Mauricio Garcez	1. Elias Curzel (G) 18. Gabriel Souza 90. Cristiano 4. Giraldo J. 16. Miranda 13. Thiaguinho 8. Zuluaga J. 88. Neto Paraiba 99. Ademilson 10. Boschilia (C) 75. Kleiton
Substitutes
8. Andre Lima 92. Benitez J. 21. Bryan Borges 17. Delvalle P. 15. Dudu Vieira 30. Marcelinho 13. Matheus Nogueira (G) 35. Mauricio Antonio 5. Novillo J. 94. Patric Calmon 3. Quintana Y. 99. Vinicius Faria	21. Brenno Pereira 89. Daniel Amorim 2. Diogo Mateus 11. Jean Lucas 6. Jefferson 29. Kaua Gomes 34. Leo Borges 22. Leo Silva 14. Ryan Santos 33. Vagner (G) 9. Vinicius Mingotti
Coaches
Claudinei Oliveira	Alex

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Denner ↓, Andre Lima ↑,
27', 1 - 0, Diogo Oliveira ⚽, Mauricio Garcez (A),
40', 1 - 1, Neto Paraiba ⚽, Boschilia (A),
45+2', Thiaguinho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gabriel Souza ↓, Diogo Mateus ↑,
50', 1 - 2, Boschilia (Pen),
53', Thiaguinho ↓, Andre ↑,
54', Miranda 🟨,
61', Kleiton ↓, Vinicius Mingotti ↑,
61', Neto Paraiba ↓, Leo Silva ↑,
68', Ramon Martinez ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
76', Reverson 🟨,
81', Andre 🟨,
81', Andre Lima ↓, Dudu Vieira ↑,
81', Marlon Douglas ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
82', Edilson ↓, Bryan Borges ↑,
85', Cristiano ↓, Jefferson ↑,
89', Diogo Mateus 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 1.

Paysandu is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Operário PR has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Operário PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Paysandu could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Paysandu: Dudu Vieira (Inactive) Matheus Vargas (Inactive) Ronaldo Henrique (Yellow Cards) Rossi (Inactive)

There will not play in Operário PR: Gabriel Feliciano (Injury) Indio (Yellow Cards) Joseph (Yellow Cards) Rodrigo Rodrigues (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Paysandu: Edinho (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Operário PR: Filipe Claudino (Inactive) Jean Lucas (Injury) Marcos Paulo (Inactive) Vinicius Mingotti (Inactive) Vitor Pernambuco (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Paysandu - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.08%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie B
17.08.25	Chapecoense - Paysandu	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Paysandu - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
03.08.25	Athletico Paranaense - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
28.07.25	Paysandu - Athletic Club	1:1 ✺
23.07.25	Amazonas - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTTT
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
19.08.25	Operário Ferroviario - Avaí	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Goiás - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Operário Ferroviario - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Ferroviária - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
22.07.25	Operário Ferroviario - Atlético Goianiense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
19.04.25	Operário Ferroviario - Paysandu	0:0
20.10.24	Operário Ferroviario - Paysandu	1:1
30.06.24	Paysandu - Operário Ferroviario	1:1
Brazilian Serie C
07.06.23	Operário Ferroviario - Paysandu	0:0
Copa do Brasil
06.07.16	Paysandu - Operário Ferroviario	2:0
17.05.16	Operário Ferroviario - Paysandu	1:0

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