Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 4

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa)

Referee: Gomes T. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Operário Ferroviario		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.25	4.75	Watch
	1.82	3.2	4.65	Watch
	1.88	3.2	5.23
	1.82	3.26	4.82
	1.85	3	4.5
	1.85	3.1	4.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.92)	3.17 ↑ (3.09)	4.78 ↑ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
51%

Draw
29.5%

Cuiabá
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

30%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

29.4%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Operário Ferroviario - Cuiabá Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Operário PR will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Cuiabá will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Elias Curzel (G) 2. Mikael Doka 22. Cuenu J. 16. Miranda 6. Moraes 100. Vinicius Diniz 5. Indio 14. Pereira H. 10. Boschilia (C) 11. Aylon 92. Pablo	31. Marcelo Carne (G) 37. Raylan 13. Joao Basso 4. Vitor Mendes 6. Marlon 5. Calebe Costa 30. Raul (C) 8. Pepe 27. Rodrigo Rodrigues 88. David Miguel 10. Hernades
Substitutes
4. Andre 25. Caio Dantas 41. Diego Monteiro (G) 7. Felipe Augusto 27. Gabriel Feliciano 3. Klaus 28. Maguinho 39. Matheus Trindade 88. Neto Paraiba 30. Pedro Vilhena 18. Pool J. 29. Torres E.	7. Asad Y. 14. Eric Melo 1. Joao Carlos (G) 41. Kauan Cristtyan 91. Luis Soares 97. Luiz Otavio 19. Mateus Santos 2. Nino Paraiba 29. Vinicius Peixoto 53. Weverson
Coaches
Luizinho Lopes	Barros E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Indio 🟨,
22', Pepe 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pablo ↓, Caio Dantas ↑,
61', Vitor Mendes 🟨,
63', David Miguel 🟨,
68', Pereira H. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
68', Indio ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,
68', Pepe ↓, Mateus Santos ↑,
73', Marlon 🟥,
75', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Eric Melo ↑,
79', Aylon ↓, Pedro Vilhena ↑,
83', Hernades ↓, Weverson ↑,
84', Calebe Costa ↓, Vinicius Peixoto ↑,
85', Mateus Santos 🟨,
85', Mateus Santos ↓, Luis Soares ↑,
85', Vinicius Diniz 🟨,
86', Vinicius Diniz ↓, Felipe Augusto ↑,
90+4', Weverson 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 2.

Operário PR is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cuiabá has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Operário PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Operário PR has had a series of away games.

In this match, Operário PR is the team to beat.

There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur (Inactive) Eliel (Inactive)

There are questionable in Operário PR: Brenno Pereira (Inactive) Vinicius Mingotti (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cuiabá: Luis Soares (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Operário PR won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Operario-PR	32	13	9	10	44:43	1	48
10	Cuiaba	32	11	14	7	32:25	7	47

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
08.04.26	Cianorte - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
05.04.26	Avaí - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
02.04.26	São Bernardo - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
28.03.26	Operário Ferroviario - Tombense	1:0 ✺
24.03.26	Caxias - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTWWT
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
07.04.26	Atlético Goianiense - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
04.04.26	Cuiabá - Ceará	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Fortaleza - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
28.03.26	Gama - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
25.03.26	Cuiabá - Tocantinópolis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
14.09.25	Operário Ferroviario - Cuiabá	1:1
11.05.25	Cuiabá - Operário Ferroviario	2:3
18.12.20	Cuiabá - Operário Ferroviario	2:0
22.09.20	Operário Ferroviario - Cuiabá	1:1
07.09.19	Operário Ferroviario - Cuiabá	2:1
04.05.19	Cuiabá - Operário Ferroviario	2:1
Brazilian Serie C
22.09.18	Cuiabá - Operário Ferroviario	0:1

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