Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Operário Ferroviario		Elvas

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	5.25
	1.5	3.5	5.5
	1.54	3.55	5.6
	1.5	4.04	6.64
	1.55	3.7	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.55)	3.68 ↑ (3.51)	5.76 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
59.6%

Draw
24.7%

Elvas
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

25.8%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

16.5%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Elvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-22.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Operário Ferroviario that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elvas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Operário Ferroviario could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Elvas have a series of home games.

In this match Operário Ferroviario is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Operário Ferroviario won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
16.02.22	Maringá - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
13.02.22	Cianorte - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.02.22	Loures - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
10.02.22	Operário Ferroviario - São-Joseense	1:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.02.22	Operário Ferroviario - Belenenses	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLTL
- O Elvas CAD
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.02.22	Elvas - Pero Pinheiro	0:2 ✺
06.02.22	Elvas - Loures	1:0 ✺
29.01.22	Belenenses - Elvas	3:0 ✺
23.01.22	Elvas - Sporting Ideal	0:3 ✺
09.01.22	Elvas - Coruchense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.12.21	Elvas - Operário Ferroviario	1:0

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