Match Info

Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 2

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa)


	Operário Ferroviario		Tombense

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.21	2.95	3.33
	2.1	2.9	3.25
	2.14	3	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.04)	2.95 ↓ (2.97)	3.3 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
42%

Draw
30.6%

Tombense
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

30.2%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

29.1%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Operário Ferroviario - Tombense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Elias Curzel (G) 4. Andre 3. Charles Raphael (C) 28. Dudu Mosconi 7. Felipe Augusto 23. Joao Gabriel 19. Kaua Gomes 6. Miguel 30. Pedro Vilhena 18. Pool J. 8. Zuluaga J.	1. Douglas Marques (C) 4. Diego Leandro 3. Donato 8. Dyego 10. Felipinho 7. Joao Vitor 2. Julio Henrique 9. Luiz Felipe 6. PH 11. Sousa Rocha Leandro J. 21. Wanderson
Substitutes
25. Bernardo Rodrigues 41. Diego Monteiro (G) 21. Dyego Camargo 88. Favero 14. Henrique 9. Jhow Torres 20. Kayo Fernandes 17. Matheus Galdino 27. Otavio M. 16. Renan Gustavo 29. Victinho	12. Alan (G) 13. Breno Roma 20. Cassio 19. Jupi 15. Matheus Chaves 18. Vitinho 14. Vitor J. 16. Xavier

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Andre (Penalty Awarded),
44', Joao Gabriel 🟨,
45+1', Andre 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Joao Vitor ↓, Jupi ↑,
46', Pedro Vilhena ↓, Matheus Galdino ↑,
48', Kaua Gomes 🟨,
60', PH 🟨,
64', Dudu Mosconi ↓, Favero ↑,
73', Kaua Gomes ↓, Jhow Torres ↑,
75', PH ↓, Xavier ↑,
75', Sousa Rocha Leandro J. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
85', Andre ↓, Henrique ↑,
85', Felipe Augusto ↓, Victinho ↑,
85', Luiz Felipe ↓, Cassio ↑,
89', Diego Leandro ↓, Breno Roma ↑,

Preview

Operário PR has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Tombense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tombense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Operário PR will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Operário PR won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Operário Ferroviario - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 44.12%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
24.03.26	Caxias - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.03.26	Operário Ferroviario - Atlético Goianiense	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
17.03.26	Londrina - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 ✺
12.03.26	Operário Ferroviario - Capital CF Ltda	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
07.03.26	Londrina - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TWWWW
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
25.03.26	Tombense - Avaí	3:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.03.26	Confiança - Tombense	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
28.02.26	URT - Tombense	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Tombense - Oratório	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
20.02.26	Tombense - URT	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
12.03.25	Operário Ferroviario - Tombense	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
25.07.22	Operário Ferroviario - Tombense	0:0
09.04.22	Tombense - Operário Ferroviario	1:1
Brazilian Serie C
14.07.18	Tombense - Operário Ferroviario	0:1
13.05.18	Operário Ferroviario - Tombense	1:1

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