Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Municipal Dito Souza (Varzea Grande)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Operário Ltda		Sport Recife

	1	X	2
	7.5	3.8	1.45
	6.4	3.8	1.47
	8.8	3.87	1.43
	7.32	3.75	1.51
	6.5	4	1.44
	8.2	4.1	1.46
	6.4	3.8	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.3 ↓ (8.36)	3.87 ↓ (4.3)	1.46 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ltda
12.7%

Draw
23.9%

Sport Recife
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.2%

21.8%

67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.9%

22.4%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ltda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ltda than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sport Recife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Operário Ltda - Sport Recife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Henrique (G) 7. Caio Vinicius 2. Castanha 4. Daniel Felipe 8. Fabricio Lusa (C) 11. Guilherme Teixeira 5. Matheus Claudino 10. Pepe 3. Santos A. 6. Vitor Gottems 9. Yury	22. Caique Franca (C) 25. Antonio Carlos 20. Atencio R. 17. Carlos Alberto 30. Chrystian Barletta 2. Di Placido L. 8. Dominguez F. 16. Igor Carius 92. Pablo 14. Rivera C. 6. Silva J.
Substitutes
25. Anthony 14. Caique 13. Denilton 17. Hugo Bilheu 16. Kaue 23. Lucas Anselmo 18. Machado S. 12. Michel (G) 20. Paragominas M. 19. Santos 21. Wallisson 15. Yago	44. Chico 29. Dalbert 41. Davi (G) 11. Gustavo Maia 19. Hyoran 77. Lobato L. 3. Lucas Cunha 33. Matheus Alexandre 27. Oliveira S. 59. Ortiz C. 7. Paciencia G. 12. Thiago Couto (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Guilherme Teixeira ↓, Wallisson ↑,
60', Dominguez F. ↓, Oliveira S. ↑,
60', Pablo ↓, Paciencia G. ↑,
62', Igor Carius 🟨,
64', Yury ↓, Lucas Anselmo ↑,
64', Santos A. ↓, Caique ↑,
70', Daniel Felipe 🟨,
72', Atencio R. ↓, Hyoran ↑,
73', Caio Vinicius ↓, Hugo Bilheu ↑,
73', Pepe ↓, Paragominas M. ↑,
76', Igor Carius ↓, Dalbert ↑,
78', Antonio Carlos 🟨,
85', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
87', Oliveira S. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Castanha (Pen),
1, Oliveira S. (Pen),
2, Fabricio Lusa (Pen),
2, Paciencia G. (Pen),
3, Daniel Felipe (Pen),
3, Rivera C. (Pen),
4, Lucas Andrade (Pen),
4, Silva J. (Pen),
5, Vitor Gottems (Pen),

Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Recife could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Recife is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário FC Ltda
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
16.02.25	Luverdense - Operário Ltda	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Operário Ltda - Primavera AC	1:1 ✺
04.02.25	Operário Ltda - Nova Mutum	2:1 ✺
30.01.25	União Rondonópolis - Operário Ltda	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Mixto - Operário Ltda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTWWT
- Sport Recife
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
22.02.25	Petrolina - Sport Recife	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
19.02.25	Sport Recife - Moto Club de São Luís	5:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
15.02.25	Sport Recife - Náutico Capibaribe	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
11.02.25	Sousa - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
08.02.25	Sport Recife - Maguary	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW

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