Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa do Nordeste - Round 3

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Antonio Mariz (Sousa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Premiere


	Sousa		Sport Recife

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	1.85
	3.75	3.15	1.95
	4.45	3.17	1.92
	3.97	3.26	1.89
	3.8	3	2
	3.68	3.18	1.95	Watch
	3.65	3.1	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.65)	3.19 ↑ (3.16)	1.94 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sousa
23.9%

Draw
28.7%

Sport Recife
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

29%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

29.6%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Sousa - Sport Recife Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bruno Fuso (G) 9. Diego Ceara 8. Diego Viana 7. Elielton 5. Hebert 11. Ian Augusto 2. Iranilson 26. Jackson 4. Marcelo 15. Patrik 3. Uesles	12. Thiago Couto (G) 25. Antonio Carlos 17. Carlos Alberto 44. Chico 29. Dalbert 2. Di Placido L. 8. Dominguez F. 9. Gustavo Coutinho 77. Lobato L. 10. Lucas Lima (C) 58. Ze Lucas
Substitutes
10. Dhonata 16. Felipe Jacare 6. Fernando Ceara 30. Gabriel Souza (G) 13. Gustavinho 21. Joao Rafael 12. Joao Vitor (G) 20. Jonathan Balotelli 17. Kiko 19. Matheusinho 23. Wellisson	20. Atencio R. 30. Chrystian Barletta 41. Davi (G) 54. Gomes do Nascimento A. 11. Gustavo Maia 32. Hereda 43. Marcelo Ajul 33. Matheus Alexandre 59. Ortiz C. 92. Pablo 13. Renzo 91. Romarinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Lobato L. ⚽,
25', Carlos Alberto 🟨,
30', Jackson ↓, Fernando Ceara ↑,
33', Diego Viana ↓, Felipe Jacare ↑,
45', Patrik 🟨,
45+3', Dalbert 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Elielton ↓, Wellisson ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Diego Ceara ⚽,
62', Carlos Alberto ↓, Gustavo Maia ↑,
62', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Pablo ↑,
62', Lobato L. ↓, Chrystian Barletta ↑,
71', Dominguez F. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
76', Hebert 🟨,
80', Patrik ↓, Dhonata ↑,
80', Ian Augusto ↓, Kiko ↑,
86', Dalbert ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 2, Atencio R. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Sousa is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Recife is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recife will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sousa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Last Results with these Odds

Sport Recife - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 45.9%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sousa
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
08.02.25	Sousa - Nacional de Patos	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.02.25	Vitória Salvador - Sousa	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
01.02.25	Sousa - Pombal	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Sousa - Campinense	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Auto Esporte - Sousa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWT
- Sport Recife
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
08.02.25	Sport Recife - Maguary	5:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.02.25	Sport Recife - Fortaleza	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
01.02.25	Santa Cruz Recife - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Sport Recife - Jaguar	4:1 ✺
26.01.25	Central SC - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.02.22	Sport Recife - Sousa	1:0

Upcoming Matches