Match Info

BRAZIL: Pernambucano - Round 7

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho (Recife)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Sport Recife		Maguary

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.2	7.5
	1.34	4.2	8.2
	1.34	4.49	9.68
	1.35	4.27	9.02	Watch
	1.36	4	8.5
	1.32	4.4	8.75
	1.34	4.2	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 (1.34)	4.25 ↓ (4.3)	8.55 ↑ (8.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Recife
67.9%

Draw
21.4%

Maguary
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

21.1%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

21.3%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Maguary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maguary than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Sport Recife - Maguary Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Thiago Couto (G) 25. Antonio Carlos 44. Chico 30. Chrystian Barletta 8. Dominguez F. 19. Hyoran 16. Igor Carius 10. Lucas Lima 33. Matheus Alexandre 59. Ortiz C. 7. Paciencia G.	1. Juliano (G) 2. Dudu 9. Erick 10. Hericles 8. Jalysson 7. Joao Guilherme 11. Marquinhos 3. Mateus Henrique 22. Memo 6. Pedrinho 4. Sandoval (C)
Substitutes
20. Atencio R. 17. Carlos Alberto 29. Dalbert 41. Davi (G) 72. Dedezinho 2. Di Placido L. 54. Gomes do Nascimento A. 9. Gustavo Coutinho 11. Gustavo Maia 32. Hereda 77. Lobato L. 43. Marcelo Ajul 92. Pablo 13. Renzo 91. Romarinho	12. Bruno Lopes (G) 17. Francisco 5. Gelson 14. Guedes 19. Guilherme Vintem 18. Kelvin 15. Pedro Cavalini 20. Renilson 16. Vitinho 13. Wellington

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Lucas Lima 🟨,
34', Igor Carius 🟨,
37', Igor Carius ↓, Dalbert ↑,
45+1', Juliano 🟨,
45+1', Sandoval 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
46', Chrystian Barletta ↓, Carlos Alberto ↑,
46', Dominguez F. ↓, Lobato L. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Lobato L. ⚽,
54', Erick ↓, Guilherme Vintem ↑,
62', Paciencia G. ↓, Pablo ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Carlos Alberto ⚽,
71', 3 - 0, Pablo ⚽,
72', Memo ↓, Gelson ↑,
73', Mateus Henrique ↓, Guedes ↑,
78', Hericles ↓, Francisco ↑,
78', Joao Guilherme ↓, Kelvin ↑,
79', Ortiz C. ↓, Gomes do Nascimento A. ↑,
81', 4 - 0, Lobato L. ⚽,
90', 5 - 0, Pablo ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent matches Recife is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Maguary is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recife could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Recife is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Recife won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Recife
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.02.25	Sport Recife - Fortaleza	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
01.02.25	Santa Cruz Recife - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Sport Recife - Jaguar	4:1 ✺
26.01.25	Central SC - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.01.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWW
- AA Maguary
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
02.02.25	Maguary - Decisão	5:0 ✺
30.01.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Maguary	2:0 ✺
20.01.25	Petrolina - Maguary	0:1 ✺
16.01.25	Maguary - Central SC	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Retrô Brasil - Maguary	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
25.01.24	Maguary - Sport Recife	0:1
11.01.23	Maguary - Sport Recife	1:1

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