Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 10

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday


	Operário Ferroviario		Moncarapachense

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.95	2.2
	3.15	2.95	2.25
	3.26	2.81	2.29
	3.11	3.02	2.24
	3.15	2.95	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (3.1)	2.94 ↓ (3.02)	2.25 (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
28.9%

Draw
30.8%

Moncarapachense
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

30.2%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

30.5%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Operário Ferroviario - Moncarapachense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Motty D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 🟥,
62', 0 - 2, Alvarinho ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
24.11.24	CRB Maceio - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
17.11.24	Operário Ferroviario - Estrela da Amadora B	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
15.11.24	Operário Ferroviario - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
10.11.24	Estrela Vendas Novas - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
09.11.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TLTWW
- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
10.11.24	Moncarapachense - Lusitano GC	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Serpa - Moncarapachense	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Moncarapachense - Moura	3:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Covilhã - Moncarapachense	3:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
06.10.24	Amora - Moncarapachense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWLL

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