Match Info

Date: 13 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa)

Referee: Furtado A. S. (Bra)


	Operário Ferroviario		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	2.95	3.1
	2.38	2.88	3
	2.34	2.95	3.1
	2.45	3.03	3.39
	2.4	2.9	3.1
	2.4	3.06	3.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.32)	2.96 ↓ (3.19)	3.13 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
38.9%

Draw
31.4%

Sampaio Corrêa
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

29.7%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45%	40%	15%

Operário Ferroviario - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Operário PR will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Operário PR: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 7).

Operário Ferroviario is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sampaio Corrêa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sampaio Corrêa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Operário Ferroviario won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Operário Ferroviario won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
09.08.22	Grêmio - Operário Ferroviario	5:1 ✺
05.08.22	Operário Ferroviario - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0 ✺
30.07.22	Ponte Preta - Operário Ferroviario	3:0 ✺
25.07.22	Operário Ferroviario - Tombense	0:0 ✺
20.07.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLTL
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
09.08.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Bahia	2:0 ✺
04.08.22	Brusque - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1 ✺
29.07.22	Tombense - Sampaio Corrêa	3:0 ✺
22.07.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Sport Recife	4:1 ✺
19.07.22	Londrina - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
30.04.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Operário Ferroviario	1:1
11.09.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Operário Ferroviario	0:0
16.06.21	Operário Ferroviario - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
11.12.20	Operário Ferroviario - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1
12.09.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Operário Ferroviario	0:1

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