Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 19

Date: 23 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)


	Sampaio Corrêa		Sport Recife

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	2.9	2.15
	3.5	2.9	2.2
	3.9	2.99	2.26
	3.3	2.88	2.1
	3.58	3.13	2.18	Watch
	3.4	2.95	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (2.75)	2.96 ↓ (3)	2.19 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
26.3%

Draw
31.3%

Sport Recife
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

30.2%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

30.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sampaio Corrêa's form might have worsened.

Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sport Recife's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sampaio Corrêa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	27.3%	54.5%

Sampaio Corrêa - Sport Recife Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Recife will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Recife: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Daniel (G) 2. Mateus Pivo 3. Gabriel Furtado 4. Fabio Aguiar 6. Vitinho 15. Mikael 8. Ferreira 7. Robinho 10. Marcinho 11. Pimentinha 23. Ytalo	33. Renan (G) 26. Eduardo 15. Rafael Thyere (C) 35. Sabino 6. Felipinho 5. Ronaldo 47. Fabio Matheus 8. Ruiz A. 30. Facu Labandeira 9. Vagner Love 46. Luciano Juba
Substitutes
19. Alyson Neves 9. Emerson Carioca 18. Gustavo Henrique 5. Jhony Douglas 14. Leo Silva 20. Mauricio Maranhao 21. Neto Paraiba 16. Para 13. Rafael Jansen 17. Samuel Santos 12. Thiago Braga (G) 22. Vinicius Alves	12. Alisson Cassiano 44. Chico 11. Edinho 2. Ewerthon 90. Gabriel Santos 39. Italo 76. Jordan (G) 23. Michel Lima 48. Pedro Martins 13. Renzo 88. Wanderson
Coaches
Fernandes M.	Moreira E.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 2.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Sport Recife could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Sport Recife: Fabinho (Injury) Jorginho (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
19.07.23	Avaí - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
14.07.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Ituano	0:0 ✺
08.07.23	Tombense - Sampaio Corrêa	0:1 ✺
01.07.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Criciúma	0:2 ✺
28.06.23	Vitória Salvador - Sampaio Corrêa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWLL
- Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie B
19.07.23	Sport Recife - Vitória Salvador	1:2 ✺
14.07.23	Atlético Goianiense - Sport Recife	3:1 ✺
09.07.23	Sport Recife - Mirassol	0:0 ✺
05.07.23	CRB Maceio - Sport Recife	2:0 ✺
02.07.23	Sport Recife - Ceará	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
22.07.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Sport Recife	4:1
09.04.22	Sport Recife - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.02.21	Sport Recife - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1
22.03.17	Sampaio Corrêa - Sport Recife	2:1
25.01.17	Sport Recife - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
18.03.15	Sport Recife - Sampaio Corrêa	3:1
04.02.15	Sampaio Corrêa - Sport Recife	3:2

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