Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 15 June 2024, Saturday

Location: AutoZone Park (Memphis, TN)

Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)


	Memphis 901		New Mexico United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.6	3.5
	1.87	3.75	3.6
	1.91	3.9	3.67
	1.87	3.9	3.67
	1.83	3.6	3.5
	1.88	3.66	3.65	Watch
	1.87	3.6	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.33)	3.72 ↑ (3.47)	3.58 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Memphis 901
49.5%

Draw
24.8%

New Mexico United
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

26.4%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

26.8%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Memphis 901 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Memphis 901's performance.

New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Mexico United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Memphis 901 than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Memphis 901 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Mexico United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Memphis 901 - New Mexico United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Deric T. (G) 3. Vom Steeg C. 2. Tulu 8. Turci L. 14. Ward A. 5. Careaga S. 4. Hyndman E. 10. Lapa B. 19. Jimenez O. 23. Paul L. 11. Marlon	1. Tambakis A. (C) 26. Mohamed A. 4. Herbert A. 12. Maples T. 3. Gloster C. 91. Houssou N. 10. Micaletto M. 11. Akale M. 27. Flanagan A. 33. Swartz H. 25. Bruce D.
Substitutes
77. Borczak D. 44. DePuy N. 6. Duncan Z. 7. Meza N. 9. Nascimento L. 18. Quezada A. 26. Seeger A. (G)	15. Astorga A. 47. DuBois J. 17. Hurst G. 7. Rivas S. 22. Ryden K. 16. Seymore W. 13. Shakes K. (G)
Coaches
Glass S.	Quill E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Lapa B. (Pen),
14', Houssou N. 🟨,
35', 2 - 0, Turci L. ⚽, Lapa B. (A),
41', Akale M. 🟨,
43', Careaga S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Careaga S. ↓, Duncan Z. ↑,
53', Paul L. 🟨,
55', Houssou N. ↓, Hurst G. ↑,
66', Marlon ↓, Nascimento L. ↑,
66', Hyndman E. ↓, Borczak D. ↑,
67', Turci L. ↓, Meza N. ↑,
70', Akale M. ↓, Rivas S. ↑,
78', Lapa B. ↓, DePuy N. ↑,
80', Swartz H. ↓, Astorga A. ↑,
80', Bruce D. ↓, Ryden K. ↑,
85', Rivas S. 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, Hurst G. ⚽,
90+5', Deric T. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Memphis is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

New Mexico is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

New Mexico could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Memphis will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Memphis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Memphis 901
USL Championship
12.06.24	Memphis 901 - Rhode Island	2:2 ✺
08.06.24	Memphis 901 - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:1 ✺
01.06.24	San Antonio - Memphis 901	1:0 ✺
25.05.24	Memphis 901 - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:0 ✺
17.05.24	El Paso Locomotive - Memphis 901	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTLWW
- New Mexico United
USL Championship
08.06.24	New Mexico United - Hartford Athletic	1:0 ✺
02.06.24	Monterey Bay - New Mexico United	1:0 ✺
25.05.24	New Mexico United - San Antonio	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
21.05.24	New York City II - New Mexico United	0:3 ✺
USL Championship
11.05.24	New Mexico United - Oakland Roots	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
13.10.23	New Mexico United - Memphis 901	4:1
17.08.22	New Mexico United - Memphis 901	0:2

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