Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Championship Soccer Stadium (Irvine, CA)

Referee: Wiseman T. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Bally Sports San Diego, Bally Sports SoCal, Bally Sports, ESPN App, ESPN+, FuboTV
World	Disney+


	Orange County SC		Rhode Island

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.2	1.93
	3.4	3.4	2.05
	3.42	3.3	2.09
	3.47	3.3	2.11	Watch
	3.42	3.35	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (3.12)	3.33 ↓ (3.38)	2.05 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

Watch this match and USL Championship with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: Bally Sports SoCal

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Current Win Probability

Orange County SC
27%

Draw
27.8%

Rhode Island
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

27.4%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

26.1%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Rhode Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Orange County SC - Rhode Island Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shutler C. (G) 2. Lambe O. 30. Nakkim M. (C) 13. Guimaraes P. 23. Doghman R. 5. Powers D. 8. Casiple S. 11. Jamison B. 26. Scott K. 7. Dunbar C. 9. Zubak E.	22. Lee J. (G) 5. Stoneman G. 24. Yao K. 15. Nodarse F. 3. Turnbull S. 20. Herivaux Z. 23. Ybarra M. 11. Fuson N. 10. Dikwa A. 8. Panayotou J. 16. Alves G. A.
Substitutes
21. Amang T. 24. Barjolo B. 15. Chattha A. 14. Flood R. 6. Fox A. 18. Gomez T. (G) 33. Miles A. 35. Norris B. 19. Partida K.	18. Brito J. 14. Doyle M. 12. Holstad C. 17. Kwizera J. 28. McGlynn C. 30. Silveira N. (G) 9. Williams J.
Coaches
Stone D.	Smith K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Jamison B. ⚽, Dunbar C. (A),
44', Powers D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Alves G. A. ↓, Kwizera J. ↑,
63', Doghman R. ↓, Partida K. ↑,
70', Guimaraes P. ↓, Flood R. ↑,
70', Casiple S. ↓, Norris B. ↑,
70', Fuson N. ↓, Brito J. ↑,
70', Dikwa A. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
76', Stoneman G. ↓, Holstad C. ↑,
76', Herivaux Z. ↓, Doyle M. ↑,
80', Zubak E. 🟨,
87', Jamison B. ↓, Miles A. ↑,
87', Scott K. ↓, Amang T. ↑,
88', Turnbull S. 🟨,

Preview

Orange County SC has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rhode Island is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rhode Island could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rhode Island will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orange County SC
USL Championship
31.08.24	Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights	2:3 ✺
24.08.24	Charleston Battery - Orange County SC	6:0 ✺
17.08.24	Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive	0:1 ✺
09.08.24	Tulsa - Orange County SC	0:0 ✺
03.08.24	Orange County SC - North Carolina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLTL
- Rhode Island FC
USL Championship
07.09.24	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Rhode Island	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Rhode Island - Birmingham Legion	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Loudoun United - Rhode Island	0:0 ✺
17.08.24	Rhode Island - Oakland Roots	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	Rhode Island - Hartford Athletic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWTTW

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