Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 3 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Championship Soccer Stadium (Irvine, CA)

Referee: Meyer B. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-central-america	ESPNPlay Caribbean
Usa	Bally Sports San Diego, Bally Sports SoCal, Bally Sports, ESPN App, ESPN+, FuboTV
World	Disney+


	Orange County SC		North Carolina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.25
	2.9	3.3	2.3
	2.75	3.35	2.52
	2.81	3.31	2.46	Watch
	2.89	3.24	2.36	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.47)	3.27 ↓ (3.35)	2.37 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

Watch this match and USL Championship with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: Bally Sports SoCal

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Current Win Probability

Orange County SC
32.6%

Draw
28.3%

North Carolina
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

27.5%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

27.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

North Carolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Orange County SC - North Carolina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Gomez T. (G) 2. Lambe O. 30. Nakkim M. (C) 12. Chavez J. 6. Fox A. 5. Powers D. 11. Jamison B. 16. Hegardt C. 26. Scott K. 14. Flood R. 9. Zubak E.	1. McGuire J. (G) 2. Craig P. (C) 4. Malou J. 7. Batista L. 28. Brewer S. 15. Maldonado M. 17. Martin C. 42. Armstrong E. 11. Conway E. 8. Perez L. 9. Anderson O.
Substitutes
25. Ayoub R. 15. Chattha A. 23. Doghman R. 7. Dunbar C. 33. Miles A. 35. Norris B. 32. Ruiz N. 1. Shutler C. (G) 17. Sorto C.	16. Da Costa R. 25. Fitzgerald A. (G) 6. Hayes J. 14. Mentzingen R. 5. Navarro D. 10. Servania J. 44. Sommersall R.
Coaches
Hardyman P.	Bradford J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Batista L. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Malou J. ⚽, Maldonado M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Chavez J. ↓, Dunbar C. ↑,
46', Powers D. ↓, Chattha A. ↑,
69', Hegardt C. ↓, Doghman R. ↑,
69', Perez L. ↓, Sommersall R. ↑,
74', Jamison B. ↓, Sorto C. ↑,
81', Malou J. ↓, Servania J. ↑,
84', Sorto C. 🟨,
89', Anderson O. ↓, Da Costa R. ↑,
89', Conway E. ↓, Mentzingen R. ↑,
89', Flood R. ↓, Ruiz N. ↑,
90+5', Servania J. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Orange County SC could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

North Carolina will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orange County SC
USL Championship
27.07.24	Birmingham Legion - Orange County SC	3:0 ✺
20.07.24	Orange County SC - San Antonio	2:0 ✺
13.07.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Orange County SC	2:0 ✺
06.07.24	Orange County SC - Memphis 901	4:1 ✺
03.07.24	New Mexico United - Orange County SC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWL
- North Carolina FC
USL Championship
27.07.24	Rhode Island - North Carolina	2:1 ✺
19.07.24	North Carolina - Detroit City	1:1 ✺
13.07.24	Sacramento Republic - North Carolina	0:0 ✺
06.07.24	North Carolina - Miami	4:1 ✺
28.06.24	Charleston Battery - North Carolina	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTWL

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