Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Highmark Stadium (Pittsburgh, PA)

Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play


	Pittsburgh Riverhounds		Rhode Island

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.45
	2.60	2.95	2.55
	2.86	3.05	2.77
	2.75	3.18	2.55	Watch
	2.85	3.10	2.55
	2.74	3.16	2.58	Watch
	2.75	3.05	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.78)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	2.56 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
33.7%

Draw
30.2%

Rhode Island
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

30%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

29.8%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Rhode Island has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Rhode Island Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Campuzano N. (G) 3. Barnes P. 5. Souza V. 6. Mikoy O. 4. Kelp L. 14. Mertz R. 42. Walti J. 2. Griffin D. (C) 37. Goldthorp E. 9. Dikwa A. 7. Amann T.	1. Koke Vegas (C) 22. Scardina N. 3. Sanchez A. 5. Stoneman G. 15. Nodarse F. 4. Bacharach Capdevila H. 77. Shapiro-Thompson A. 17. Kwizera J. 10. Rodriguez A. 11. Fuson N. 9. Williams J.
Substitutes
10. Ahl C. 19. Bassett S. 8. Etou B. 27. Flowers-Gamboa A. 18. Garcia J. 28. Osumanu I. 24. Sheridan M. (G) 13. Viera M.	7. Atkinson D. 29. Castro J. (G) 13. Meyer W. (G) 2. Rovira D. 19. Vang K. 25. Williams C.
Coaches
Vincent R.	Smith K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 0 - 1, Williams J. ⚽, Scardina N. (A),
72', Rodriguez A. ↓, Atkinson D. ↑,
72', Souza V. 🟨,
78', Amann T. ↓, Ahl C. ↑,
78', Barnes P. ↓, Etou B. ↑,
78', Goldthorp E. ↓, Bassett S. ↑,
86', Mertz R. ↓, Viera M. ↑,
86', Kwizera J. ↓, Rovira D. ↑,
90', Fuson N. ↓, Williams C. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 4.

Pittsburgh has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rhode Island is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pittsburgh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:1. (average 1:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Pittsburgh Riverhounds - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.43%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Rhode Island - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.59%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USL Championship
18.07.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Louisville City	3:1 ✺
15.07.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Loudoun United	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
04.07.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Brooklyn	0:2 ✺
20.06.26	Hartford Athletic - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLT
- Rhode Island FC
USL Championship
18.07.26	Rhode Island - Hartford Athletic	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Rhode Island - Brooklyn	2:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
08.07.26	Sacramento Republic - Rhode Island	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Rhode Island - Orange County SC	1:1 ✺
13.06.26	Loudoun United - Rhode Island	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
15.11.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Rhode Island	1:0
02.08.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Rhode Island	2:0
USL Cup
31.05.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Rhode Island	0:1
USL Championship
24.05.25	Rhode Island - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:1
07.09.24	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Rhode Island	2:0
13.04.24	Rhode Island - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:0

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