Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Championship Soccer Stadium (Irvine, CA)

Referee: Radosav C. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Orange County SC		Las Vegas Lights

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.50	2.50
	2.25	3.40	2.63
	2.49	3.70	2.67
	2.3	3.81	2.69	Watch
	2.40	3.65	2.60
	2.46	3.52	2.64	Watch
	2.34	3.55	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.18)	3.59 ↓ (3.86)	2.61 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Orange County SC
39.1%

Draw
25.6%

Las Vegas Lights
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

23.8%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

22.8%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rando A. (G) 16. Lindsey J. 5. Brewitt T. (C) 6. Tubbs G. 23. Doghman R. 7. Wathuta S. 11. MacKinnon L. 8. Sylla O. 27. Kelly S. 10. Hegardt C. 12. Bazini Y.	1. Henry T. (G) 6. Sessock N. 30. Ofeimu B. 3. Jones N. 45. Pope B. 27. Probo G. 23. Ybarra M. 18. Locker C. 11. Pinzon C. (C) 14. Rodriguez J. 25. Anderson O.
Substitutes
20. Bunbury M. 35. Carter Jr. J. 30. Castro J. 15. Espy T. 31. Kadono T. (G) 50. Ngoie P. 18. Palomino M. 25. Solis E. 9. Zubak E.	81. Antonoglou T. 9. Arteaga M. 10. Azcona E. 33. Guillen A. 13. Lanphier C. (G) 17. Leal P. 43. Okyere A.
Coaches
Stone D.	Rensing D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Probo G. (A),
43', Rodriguez J. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,
45+2', Arteaga M. 🟨,
45+5', Pope B. 🟨,
45+6', Sylla O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', Bazini Y. ↓, Bunbury M. ↑,
75', Probo G. 🟨,
75', Sylla O. ↓, Palomino M. ↑,
76', Wathuta S. ↓, Zubak E. ↑,
86', Locker C. ↓, Leal P. ↑,
86', Pope B. ↓, Antonoglou T. ↑,
90', Lindsey J. ↓, Espy T. ↑,
90', Arteaga M. ↓, Guillen A. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 2, Anderson O. ⚽, Leal P. (A),
90+6', Anderson O. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 2.

Orange County SC is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Las Vegas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:28. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orange County SC
USL Championship
05.09.26	Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Oakland Roots - Orange County SC	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Orange County SC - Tulsa	1:5 ✺
15.08.26	Orange County SC - Louisville City	2:3 ✺
08.08.26	Orange County SC - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTLLL
- Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship
05.09.26	Las Vegas Lights - New Mexico United	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Las Vegas Lights - Charleston Battery	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Lexington - Las Vegas Lights	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Las Vegas Lights - Brooklyn	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Miami - Las Vegas Lights	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
20.06.26	Las Vegas Lights - Orange County SC	2:3
07.03.26	Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights	1:1
19.07.25	Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights	4:0
USL Cup
26.04.25	Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights	1:3
USL Championship
05.04.25	Las Vegas Lights - Orange County SC	1:0
05.10.24	Las Vegas Lights - Orange County SC	1:1
31.08.24	Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights	2:3

Upcoming Matches