The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tulsa 51%
Draw 27.3%
Orange County SC 21.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.6%
25.9%
19.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.3%
25.1%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tulsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Tulsa - Orange County SC Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Jacomen D. (G) 98. Ian 4. Pierre D. 15. Batista L. 47. St.Clair H. 13. Kocevski J. 8. Webber J. (C) 2. Damm O. 17. Sparks B. 10. Elmedkhar K. 11. Bruno Lapa
1. Rando A. (G) 21. War M. 5. Brewitt T. 6. Tubbs G. 4. Benalcazar N. 19. Partida K. 18. Palomino M. 27. Kelly S. 10. Hegardt C. 12. Bazini Y. 11. MacKinnon L.
Substitutes
7. Cabral R. 91. Cissoko A. 25. Clarke A. 22. Lukic S. 27. Siranga Z. 44. Somersall R. 12. Stauffer L. 1. Tambakis A. (G)
2. Doody G. 15. Espy T. 17. Johnson J. 31. Kadono T. (G) 22. Marinch A. 25. Solis E. 8. Sylla O. 9. Zubak E.
Coaches
Spencer L.
Stone D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Webber J. 🟨,
30', Palomino M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bazini Y. ↓, Zubak E. ↑,
46', Palomino M. ↓, Sylla O. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, MacKinnon L. ⚽,
64', Bruno Lapa ↓, Somersall R. ↑,
64', Sparks B. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
65', Elmedkhar K. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
69', Pierre D. 🟨,
75', Damm O. ↓, Stauffer L. ↑,
76', Hegardt C. ↓, Espy T. ↑,
84', Ian 🟨,
86', Kelly S. ↓, Doody G. ↑,
87', Pierre D. ↓, Cissoko A. ↑,
89', Somersall R. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 1.
Tulsa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Orange County SC's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Orange County SC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of home games.
In this match, Tulsa is a strong favorite.
We predict that Tulsa will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:29. (average 1.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Tulsa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).