Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov (Šymkent)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Qazsport


	Ordabasy		Atyrau

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.95	5.9	Watch
	1.48	4.05	6.18
	1.47	4.07	6.19	Watch
	1.5	3.7	5.75
	1.53	4.08	5.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.89)	3.97 ↑ (3.32)	5.98 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ordabasy
61.5%

Draw
23.1%

Atyrau
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

27.7%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ordabasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ordabasy's performance.

Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atyrau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Ordabasy - Atyrau Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ordabasy will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shayzada B. (G) 3. Kilama G. 25. Maliy S. 55. Amanovic A. 22. Astanov S. 23. Khalmatov M. 11. Vakulko Y. 5. Antic N. 9. Everton 10. Astanov E. 45. Mitkov D.	1. Khatkevich E. (G) 78. Khvalko E. 6. Yudenkov R. 5. Satanov S. 2. Tkachenko Y. 10. Dzhumatov R. (C) 55. Noyok O. 17. Kalmuratov K. 14. Dorofeev K. 7. Henrique 4. Rabiu M.
Substitutes
77. Abagna D. 24. Abdukhalyk A. (G) 15. Amir Z. 16. Capatina M. 19. Leo Natel 7. Naumets V. 27. Serik N. 17. Sultaniyazov Z. 21. Toktybay B. 20. Toktybay M. 13. Tolepbergen K. (G) 14. Turganov A.	21. Akhaev B. 27. Berdesh N. 99. Kereev B. 77. Pangerey M. 11. Seytkaliev A. 23. Shaykhov B. 35. Tokhtarov N. (G) 18. Trufanov Y. 25. Zhumagali S.
Coaches
Martin A.	Cheburin V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Dorofeev K. ⚽,
22', Tkachenko Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mitkov D. ↓, Naumets V. ↑,
46', Khalmatov M. ↓, Capatina M. ↑,
51', Khvalko E. 🟨,
58', Vakulko Y. ↓, Amir Z. ↑,
65', Henrique ↓, Trufanov Y. ↑,
74', Astanov S. ↓, Toktybay M. ↑,
78', Everton ↓, Sultaniyazov Z. ↑,
90+10', Khatkevich E. 🟨,
90+11', 1 - 1, Astanov E. ⚽,
90+13', Dzhumatov R. 🟥,
90+14', Sultaniyazov Z. 🟥,
90+16', Amir Z. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 2.

Atyrau's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Ordabasy is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ordabasy won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

Ordabasy: 69.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ordabasy	26	19	4	3	51:18	33	61
15	Atyrau	25	4	11	10	18:28	-10	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ordabasy
Kazakh Premier League
20.03.26	Ordabasy - Kaisar	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Zhenis - Ordabasy	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Ordabasy - Ertis Pavlodar	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.02.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Ordabasy	0:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.10.25	Aktobe - Ordabasy	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWTTT
- FC Atyrau
Kazakh Premier League
20.03.26	Atyrau - Zhenis	0:0 ✺
16.03.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Atyrau	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Atyrau - Ulytau	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.02.26	Arsenal Tula - Atyrau	3:1 ✺
05.02.26	Dynamo Makhachkala - Atyrau	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
03.08.25	Ordabasy - Atyrau	2:2
03.05.25	Atyrau - Ordabasy	1:2
15.09.24	Ordabasy - Atyrau	1:0
Kazakh League Cup
25.05.24	Atyrau - Ordabasy	0:0
Kazakh Premier League
06.03.24	Atyrau - Ordabasy	1:1
15.07.23	Atyrau - Ordabasy	1:1
03.06.23	Ordabasy - Atyrau	2:1

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