Match Info

Premier League - Round 2

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Location: Astana Arena (Astana)

Referee: Kuchma A. (Kaz)


	Zhenis		Ordabasy

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	3.1	2.58
	2.47	3.2	2.73
	2.67	3.03	2.62	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.63
	2.6	3.12	2.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.49)	3.07 ↓ (3.13)	2.67 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhenis
35.7%

Draw
29.9%

Ordabasy
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

29.4%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhenis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Ordabasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	11.1%	55.6%

Zhenis - Ordabasy Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Zhenis will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Ordabasy will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ordabasy: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ordabasy (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Plotnikov M. (G) 19. Adilio 72. Askarov M. 4. Bystrov M. 10. Imnadze L. 7. Kuat I. 9. Lobjanidze E. 88. Martins G. 63. Saravanja I. 14. Saulet A. 5. Tevzadze Z.	1. Shayzada B. (G) 55. Amanovic A. 5. Antic N. 10. Astanov E. 22. Astanov S. 16. Capatina M. 3. Kilama G. 25. Maliy S. 45. Mitkov D. 7. Naumets V. 11. Vakulko Y.
Substitutes
17. Adilov A. 30. Gorobchenko N. 8. Hossein M. 45. Iyede S. 21. Kamaradinov B. 18. Madelkhan B. 52. Merkel A. 77. Shanshar N. (G) 1. Sotnik I. (G) 13. Tursynbay S. 23. Ulshin A.	15. Amir Z. 9. Everton 23. Khalmatov M. 17. Sultaniyazov Z. 21. Toktybay B. 20. Toktybay M. 13. Tolepbergen K. (G) 14. Turganov A.
Coaches
Aliyev A.	Martin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Maliy S. 🟨,
38', Vakulko Y. 🟨,
44', Imnadze L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Mitkov D. ↓, Everton ↑,
46', Naumets V. ↓, Amir Z. ↑,
63', Vakulko Y. ↓, Khalmatov M. ↑,
65', Lobjanidze E. ↓, Iyede S. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Astanov S. ⚽, Amir Z. (A),
74', 0 - 2, Amir Z. ⚽,
75', Askarov M. ↓, Tursynbay S. ↑,
78', Astanov E. ↓, Sultaniyazov Z. ↑,
90+4', Sultaniyazov Z. 🟨,

Preview

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Zhenis won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Zhenis won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

Ordabasy: 69.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ordabasy	26	19	4	3	51:18	33	61
8	Zhenis	26	8	8	10	26:32	-6	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zhenis
Kazakh Premier League
08.03.26	Kaisar - Zhenis	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Zhenis - Kaisar	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Atyrau - Zhenis	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Zhenis - Turan Turkistan	6:3 ✺
22.09.25	Kairat - Zhenis	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTTWL
- FC Ordabasy
Kazakh Premier League
07.03.26	Ordabasy - Ertis Pavlodar	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.02.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Ordabasy	0:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.10.25	Aktobe - Ordabasy	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Ordabasy - Okzhetpes	7:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
04.10.25	Ordabasy - Tobol Kostanay	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
13.09.25	Ordabasy - Zhenis	2:1
30.05.25	Zhenis - Ordabasy	2:2
26.10.24	Ordabasy - Zhenis	1:2
23.06.24	Zhenis - Ordabasy	1:3

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