Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov (Šymkent)

Referee: Popov N. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Disney+
Georgia	Silk Universal
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Ordabasy		Torpedo Kutaisi

	1	X	2
	1.65	4	4.2	Watch
	1.71	3.6	4.2
	1.6	4.3	4.5	Watch
	1.73	3.92	3.93
				Watch
	1.73	3.5	4.6
	1.71	4.24	4.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.71)	3.93 ↑ (3.75)	4.33 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ordabasy
54.9%

Draw
23.6%

Torpedo Kutaisi
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

24.6%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

24.2%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ordabasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Torpedo Kutaisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Kutaisi than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Ordabasy - Torpedo Kutaisi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Ordabasy (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ordabasy will win (28 of 31 users predict this - 90.32%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.91% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ordabasy will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Ordabasy (votes: 17 - 94.4%). Torpedo Kutaisi (votes: 1 - 5.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Celeadnic D. (G) 22. Astanov S. 25. Maliy S. (C) 13. Tursynbay S. 5. Antic N. 16. Capatina M. 6. Zhaksybaev U. 8. Vakulko Y. 30. Naumets V. 9. Everton 7. Imnadze L.	1. Goshadze O. (G) 2. Warley 4. Kvirkvelia S. 23. Simic M. 5. Nadaraia T. 8. Itrak M. 7. Mamuchashvili V. (C) 18. Bidzinashvili I. 14. Felipe Pires 20. Ghudushauri P. 9. Johnsen B.
Substitutes
47. Amir Z. 27. Canadjija D. 14. Jimoh S. 23. Khalmatov M. 29. Nuraly B. 1. Shayzada B. (G) 17. Sultaniyazov Z. 10. Zhumabek A.	17. Andric K. 26. Basiladze A. 6. Cherif M. 33. Eric Pimentel 3. Jorginho 31. Kljajic F. (G) 10. Kokhreidze G. 25. Kopaliani S. (G) 16. Mane S. 11. Rafael Reis 22. Zita K.
Coaches
Martin A.	Schuster D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Bidzinashvili I. ⚽, Nadaraia T. (A),
45+1', Kvirkvelia S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tursynbay S. ↓, Zhumabek A. ↑,
49', Kvirkvelia S. 🟨,
54', Ghudushauri P. ↓, Mane S. ↑,
57', Vakulko Y. 🟨,
59', Everton ↓, Sultaniyazov Z. ↑,
67', Vakulko Y. ↓, Khalmatov M. ↑,
77', Naumets V. ↓, Jimoh S. ↑,
79', Maliy S. 🟨,
82', Bidzinashvili I. ↓, Jorginho ↑,
90+2', Johnsen B. ↓, Andric K. ↑,
90+3', Felipe Pires ↓, Cherif M. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Zhumabek A. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 3-4. 2nd leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ordabasy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ordabasy is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ordabasy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ordabasy
Kazakh Premier League
13.07.25	Ordabasy - Astana	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.07.25	Torpedo Kutaisi - Ordabasy	4:3 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
05.07.25	Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy	0:0 ✺
29.06.25	Ordabasy - Kairat	0:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
25.06.25	Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLTLT
- Torpedo Kutaisi
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.07.25	Torpedo Kutaisi - Ordabasy	4:3 ✺
Georgian Super Cup
01.07.25	Iberia 1999 - Torpedo Kutaisi	0:1 penalties ✺
27.06.25	Spaeri - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:0 penalties ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
29.05.25	Torpedo Kutaisi - Gareji Sagarejo	0:2 ✺
24.05.25	Dinamo Tbilisi - Torpedo Kutaisi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
10.07.25	Torpedo Kutaisi - Ordabasy	4:3
UEFA Europa League
18.07.19	Torpedo Kutaisi - Ordabasy	0:2
11.07.19	Ordabasy - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:0

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