Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Karasai Stadium (Petropavl)

Referee: Karabaev S. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Sport+


	Kyzylzhar		Ordabasy

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.1	1.98
	3.85	3.2	1.99
	4.23	3.3	1.83	Watch
	3.1	2.88	2.2
	3.66	3.41	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (2.39)	3.18 ↓ (3.41)	2 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyzylzhar
24.8%

Draw
29%

Ordabasy
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

27%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

26.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyzylzhar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kyzylzhar's form might have worsened.

Ordabasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ordabasy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kyzylzhar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ordabasy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ordabasy (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Celeadnic D. (G) 25. Galabov P. 26. Kerimzhanov O. 22. Kozlenko A. 71. Sokolenko A. 23. Piscevic N. 19. Krajisnik D. 47. Gomis H. 10. Bjartalid J. 7. Muldinov T. (C) 99. Beugre E.	1. Shayzada B. (G) 22. Astanov S. 25. Maliy S. (C) 3. Kilama G. 5. Antic N. 15. Amir Z. 16. Capatina M. 55. Amanovic A. 77. Abagna D. 19. Leo Natel 10. Astanov E.
Substitutes
9. Adil A. 13. Baoken S. 11. Cheredinov A. 28. Chirkov R. 17. Eleukin M. 39. Erniyazov S. (G) 27. Gubarev N. 8. Makarenko E. 88. Pertsukh Y. 32. Petrov V. (G) 5. Slambekov D. 79. Valgushev G.	24. Abdukhalyk A. (G) 9. Everton 23. Khalmatov M. 45. Mitkov D. 7. Naumets V. 17. Sultaniyazov Z. 21. Toktybay B. 20. Toktybay M. 13. Tolepbergen K. (G) 14. Turganov A. 11. Vakulko Y.
Coaches
Curcic M.	Martin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Astanov S. 🟨,
30', Galabov P. 🟨,
34', Gomis H. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Slambekov D. (Own goal),
36', Antic N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Leo Natel ↓, Everton ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Beugre E. ⚽,
64', Muldinov T. ↓, Adil A. ↑,
71', Amir Z. ↓, Naumets V. ↑,
75', Beugre E. ↓, Baoken S. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Astanov E. ⚽,
80', Abagna D. ↓, Toktybay M. ↑,
81', Astanov E. ↓, Mitkov D. ↑,
81', Gomis H. ↓, Cheredinov A. ↑,
81', Slambekov D. ↓, Pertsukh Y. ↑,
87', Antic N. ↓, Khalmatov M. ↑,
89', Mitkov D. 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90', Mitkov D. 🟥,
90+5', Adil A. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyzylzhar won 0.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kyzylzhar won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kyzylzhar won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1:0.8).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

Ordabasy: 69.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ordabasy	26	19	4	3	51:18	33	61
14	Kyzylzhar	26	6	6	14	26:40	-14	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kyzylzhar
Kazakh Premier League
19.04.26	Atyrau - Kyzylzhar	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Kyzylzhar - Zhenis	4:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
09.04.26	Khan Tengri - Kyzylzhar	0:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
04.04.26	Kaisar - Kyzylzhar	0:0 ✺
20.03.26	Kyzylzhar - Ertis Pavlodar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWTT
- FC Ordabasy
Kazakh Premier League
18.04.26	Ordabasy - Okzhetpes	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Astana - Ordabasy	1:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
08.04.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Ordabasy	2:4 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
04.04.26	Ordabasy - Atyrau	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Ordabasy - Kaisar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Cup
28.08.25	Ordabasy - Kyzylzhar	1:0 ET
Kazakh Premier League
05.07.25	Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy	0:0
Kazakh Cup
25.06.25	Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy	0:0
Kazakh Premier League
30.03.25	Ordabasy - Kyzylzhar	0:0
03.10.24	Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy	0:1
20.04.24	Ordabasy - Kyzylzhar	1:1
22.07.23	Ordabasy - Kyzylzhar	2:1

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