Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 July 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Ramaz Shengelia (Kutaisi) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lashuk A. (Blr)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Georgia	20:00	Silk Universal
Kazakhstan	22:00	Qazsport


	Torpedo Kutaisi		Ordabasy

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.6	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.3
	2.05	3.3	3.5	Watch
	2.21	3.1	3.48
				Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.8
	2.08	3.4	3.49	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.61)	3.26 ↑ (3.24)	3.4 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Kutaisi
44.1%

Draw
28.5%

Ordabasy
27.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.7%

28.7%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

28.4%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Kutaisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Torpedo Kutaisi's performance.

Ordabasy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ordabasy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Kutaisi than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Torpedo Kutaisi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ordabasy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.4%	10.2%	8.5%

Torpedo Kutaisi - Ordabasy Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Torpedo Kutaisi will win (votes: 48 - 82.8%). Ordabasy will win (votes: 5 - 8.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 8.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Torpedo Kutaisi: 73.1% – 92.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Torpedo Kutaisi (1.52) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +0.5 - Ordabasy (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Torpedo Kutaisi (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Torpedo Kutaisi will win (27 of 33 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 39 Selected Experts predict this event. Torpedo Kutaisi (votes: 32 - 82.1%). Ordabasy (votes: 1 - 2.6%). Tie (votes: 6 - 15.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goshadze O. (G) 4. Kvirkvelia S. 23. Simic M. 5. Nadaraia T. 2. Warley 8. Itrak M. 18. Bidzinashvili I. 7. Mamuchashvili V. (C) 26. Basiladze A. 14. Felipe Pires 9. Johnsen B.	1. Shayzada B. (G) 22. Astanov S. 6. Zhaksybaev U. 25. Maliy S. (C) 13. Tursynbay S. 5. Antic N. 8. Vakulko Y. 16. Capatina M. 7. Imnadze L. 98. Joao Paulino 9. Everton
Substitutes
17. Andric K. 6. Cherif M. 33. Eric Pimentel 20. Ghudushauri P. 3. Jorginho 31. Kljajic F. (G) 10. Kokhreidze G. 25. Kopaliani S. (G) 16. Mane S. 11. Rafael Reis 24. Tkeshelashvili A. 22. Zita K.	47. Amir Z. 27. Canadjija D. 34. Celeadnic D. (G) 14. Jimoh S. 23. Khalmatov M. 30. Naumets V. 29. Nuraly B. 17. Sultaniyazov Z. 10. Zhumabek A.
Coaches
Schuster D.	Martin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
30', 1 - 0, Johnsen B. ⚽, Felipe Pires (A),
32', 1 - 1, Capatina M. ⚽,
35', 1 - 2, Imnadze L. ⚽, Vakulko Y. (A),
45+2', 2 - 2, Simic M. ⚽, Mamuchashvili V. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Everton ↓, Naumets V. ↑,
52', Joao Paulino ↓, Canadjija D. ↑,
66', Basiladze A. ↓, Ghudushauri P. ↑,
66', Bidzinashvili I. ↓, Kokhreidze G. ↑,
69', 2 - 3, Capatina M. ⚽,
76', Ghudushauri P. 🟨,
79', 3 - 3, Johnsen B. ⚽, Felipe Pires (A),
80', Vakulko Y. ↓, Khalmatov M. ↑,
84', Johnsen B. ↓, Andric K. ↑,
85', Antic N. ↓, Jimoh S. ↑,
90+1', Itrak M. 🟨,
90+4', 4 - 3, Simic M. ⚽, Mamuchashvili V. (A),
90+6', Simic M. ↓, Mane S. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Torpedo Kutaisi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Torpedo Kutaisi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Torpedo Kutaisi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Torpedo Kutaisi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgian Super Cup
01.07.25	Iberia 1999 - Torpedo Kutaisi	0:1 penalties ✺
27.06.25	Spaeri - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:0 penalties ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
29.05.25	Torpedo Kutaisi - Gareji Sagarejo	0:2 ✺
24.05.25	Dinamo Tbilisi - Torpedo Kutaisi	2:0 ✺
20.05.25	Torpedo Kutaisi - Kolkheti Poti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLLW
- FC Ordabasy
Kazakh Premier League
05.07.25	Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy	0:0 ✺
29.06.25	Ordabasy - Kairat	0:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
25.06.25	Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy	0:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
21.06.25	Okzhetpes - Ordabasy	0:1 ✺
15.06.25	Ordabasy - Yelimay Semey	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
18.07.19	Torpedo Kutaisi - Ordabasy	0:2
11.07.19	Ordabasy - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:0

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