Match Info

Date: 14 August 2022, Sunday

Location: Gazovik Stadium (Orenburg)

Referee: Lyubimov A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Orenburg		Torpedo Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.15
	2.19	3.61	3.33
	2.11	3.62	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.2)	3.54 ↑ (3.45)	3.33 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orenburg
44.4%

Draw
26.9%

Torpedo Moscow
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.3%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Torpedo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Orenburg - Torpedo Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Orenburg will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Torpedo will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Orenburg: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).

Orenburg has the most likely position - 15 (14.33%), has project points - 30, has currently - 3, has a chance of relegated (41%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Torpedo has the most likely position - 16 (27.77%), has project points - 25, has currently - 1, has a good chance of relegated (59%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 31, importance 46, match rating 39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Orenburg won 3.

Torpedo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Orenburg will have a small advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Torpedo: Shumskikh A. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Orenburg won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Orenburg won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Orenburg
Russian Premier League
07.08.22	Rostov - Orenburg	2:1 ✺
31.07.22	Spartak Moscow - Orenburg	4:1 ✺
23.07.22	Orenburg - Ural	3:0 ✺
16.07.22	Orenburg - Krylya Sovetov	2:4 ✺
28.05.22	Ufa - Orenburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLWLW
- Torpedo Moscow
Russian Premier League
07.08.22	Torpedo Moscow - Khimki	1:3 ✺
31.07.22	Krylya Sovetov - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
24.07.22	Dynamo Moscow - Torpedo Moscow	4:0 ✺
17.07.22	Torpedo Moscow - Sochi	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.22	Torpedo Moscow - Fakel	N/A ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLL?

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
02.04.22	Orenburg - Torpedo Moscow	1:0
19.09.21	Torpedo Moscow - Orenburg	2:1
10.03.21	Orenburg - Torpedo Moscow	3:0
13.09.20	Torpedo Moscow - Orenburg	1:2
03.11.13	Orenburg - Torpedo Moscow	0:2
23.07.13	Torpedo Moscow - Orenburg	0:2

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