Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 17

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Campo Engenheiro Carlos Salema (Lisbon)


	Oriental		Atlético da Malveira

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.98	2.52
	2.86	2.96	2.4
	2.76	3.12	2.44	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.4
	2.66	3.27	2.5
	2.85	2.9	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.2)	3.02 ↑ (2.95)	2.44 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriental
33%

Draw
30%

Atlético da Malveira
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

29.6%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

28.9%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriental has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oriental's form might have worsened.

Atlético da Malveira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético da Malveira's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oriental, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético da Malveira than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético da Malveira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Oriental - Atlético da Malveira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Oriental won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Oriental won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clube Oriental Lisboa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
25.01.26	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Oriental	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Oriental - Moncarapachense	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Comércio e Indústria - Oriental	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Serpa - Oriental	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Oriental - Alcochetense	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTTWL
- Atlético da Malveira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
25.01.26	Atlético da Malveira - Alverca B	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Elvas - Atlético da Malveira	1:3 ✺
10.01.26	Juventude de Évora - Atlético da Malveira	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Atlético da Malveira - Louletano	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Sintrense - Atlético da Malveira	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
14.09.25	Atlético da Malveira - Oriental	2:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.12.16	Oriental - Atlético da Malveira	1:1

Oriental - Atlético da Malveira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide