Match Info

Date: 16 October 2021, Saturday


	Oriental Dragon		Moreirense

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.61
	4.33	3.6	1.66
	4.5	3.7	1.64
	4.6	3.75	1.63
	4.6	3.92	1.69
	5	3.6	1.63
	5	3.9	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.65 ↓ (6.1)	3.78 ↓ (4)	1.64 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriental Dragon
19.8%

Draw
24.3%

Moreirense
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.8%

22.6%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

13.3%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriental Dragon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moreirense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental Dragon than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oriental Dragon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moreirense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Oriental Dragon - Moreirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Oriental Dragon is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Moreirense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moreirense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Moreirense is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriental Dragon FC
Portuguese Liga 3
03.10.21	Oriental Dragon - Caldas	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
25.09.21	Loures - Oriental Dragon	2:3 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
17.09.21	Amora - Oriental Dragon	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.09.21	Lusitano de Évora 1911 - Oriental Dragon	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
28.08.21	Oriental Dragon - Real SC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWWWT
- Moreirense FC
Liga Portugal
01.10.21	Marítimo - Moreirense	0:0 ✺
25.09.21	Moreirense - Arouca	2:1 ✺
19.09.21	Porto - Moreirense	5:0 ✺
12.09.21	Moreirense - Famalicão	2:2 ✺
27.08.21	BSAD - Moreirense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLTT

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