The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marítimo 43.6%
Draw 29.2%
Moreirense 27.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
31%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
22.1%
22.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marítimo's performance.
Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marítimo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moreirense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
34.6%
30.8%
34.6%
Marítimo - Moreirense Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Marítimo will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%). Moreirense will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 30.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Marítimo: 16.3% – 52.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 and 14).
Marítimo has the most likely position - 18 (11.37%), has project points - 35, has currently - 6, has a chance of relegated (27%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Moreirense has the most likely position - 13 (7.88%), has project points - 39, has currently - 6, has a chance of relegated (16%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Marítimo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Moreirense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Marítimo will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 18 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 22-20.
Including matches at home between the teams Marítimo won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-11.
Watch
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