Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 19

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Oriental de La Paz		Albion Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.95	2.2
	3.05	3.1	2.15
	3.29	3.44	2.13
	3.72	2.51	2.44	Watch
	3.11	3.04	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (3.45)	3.01 ↓ (3.14)	2.23 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Oriental de La Paz
28.4%

Draw
30.5%

Albion Montevideo
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

28.8%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

28.3%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriental de La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Albion Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Oriental de La Paz - Albion Montevideo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Albion (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
88', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oriental won 1.

Recent form of Oriental has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Albion is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Oriental may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Oriental won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Oriental won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriental de La Paz
Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.08.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Oriental de La Paz - Rampla Juniors	0:1 ✺
20.08.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Oriental de La Paz	1:2 ✺
15.08.25	Oriental de La Paz - Central Español	2:3 ✺
10.08.25	Tacuarembó - Oriental de La Paz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWLT
- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.08.25	Albion Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Albion Montevideo - Artigas	3:2 ✺
19.08.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	0:3 ✺
16.08.25	Albion Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
15.06.25	Albion Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	1:0
05.10.24	Oriental de La Paz - Albion Montevideo	1:1
24.06.24	Albion Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	1:1
17.04.24	Oriental de La Paz - Albion Montevideo	2:0
21.10.23	Oriental de La Paz - Albion Montevideo	1:4
03.06.23	Albion Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	2:0
19.03.23	Albion Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	1:5

Upcoming Matches