Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 18

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Albion Montevideo		Uruguay Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	4.75
	1.68	3.4	4.45
	1.51	4.27	5.66
	1.53	3.59	6.91	Watch
	2.3	2.88	3.1
	1.68	3.3	4.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.59)	3.47 ↑ (3.45)	4.98 ↓ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albion Montevideo
54.3%

Draw
26.9%

Uruguay Montevideo
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

26.4%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

24.1%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albion Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Uruguay Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Albion Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Albion Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Albion will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Uruguay Montevideo will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Uruguay Montevideo (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uruguay Montevideo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 0 - 1, ⚽,
68', 🟥,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Albion won 4.

Albion has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Uruguay Montevideo has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Albion is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Albion will win today's game, with odds of 1.98.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Albion won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Albion won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
24.08.25	Albion Montevideo - Artigas	3:2 ✺
19.08.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	0:3 ✺
16.08.25	Albion Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
06.08.25	Paysandú - Albion Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWW
- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
24.08.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1 ✺
20.08.25	Rampla Juniors - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Central Español - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Tacuarembó - Uruguay Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
08.06.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	0:3
23.03.25	Albion Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0
16.11.24	Albion Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	2:1
28.07.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	2:0
14.04.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	0:1
24.11.23	Albion Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1
15.07.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	1:0

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