Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 11

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Oriental de La Paz		Huracán Paso de la Arena

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.20	3.40
	2.14	3.15	3.00
	2.03	3.27	3.71
	2.04	3.28	3.66	Watch
	1.99	3.15	3.65
	1.99	3.13	3.58
	1.98	3.15	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.14)	3.19 ↑ (3.15)	3.48 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriental de La Paz
45.2%

Draw
28.6%

Huracán Paso de la Arena
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.4%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

27.1%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriental de La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Huracán Paso de la Arena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Paso de la Arena than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Oriental de La Paz - Huracán Paso de la Arena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 🟥,
87', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Oriental is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Oriental	21	8	8	5	29:22	7	32
10	Huracan FC	21	7	5	9	22:28	-6	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriental de La Paz
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.07.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Oriental de La Paz - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	Oriental de La Paz - Colón Montevideo	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	2:2 ✺
13.06.26	Oriental de La Paz - Rentistas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLTTW
- Huracán Paso de la Arena
Uruguayan Segunda Division
11.07.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Colón Montevideo	0:2 ✺
05.07.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Huracán Paso de la Arena	2:0 ✺
27.06.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Rentistas	1:2 ✺
19.06.26	Miramar Misiones - Huracán Paso de la Arena	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Tacuarembó	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLLWW

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