The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guabirá 44.5%
Draw 24.6%
Blooming 30.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.2%
21.9%
16%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.9%
21%
15.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guabirá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guabirá's form might have worsened.
Blooming has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Blooming's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (+20.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guabirá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blooming than the current prediction. (-15.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Blooming, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
27.3%
9.1%
63.6%
Guabirá - Blooming Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Guabirá will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Blooming will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Blooming: 43.5% – 83.7%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Blooming (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Blooming (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ferrel M. (G) 16. Pablo Melgar 6. Anez C. (C) 21. Portillo M. 29. Masskooni N. 8. Moreno A. 77. Thiago Ribeiro 88. Ursino L. 7. Peredo G. 11. Garzon S. 91. Abrego V.
71. Almada G. (G) 44. Enoumba M. 28. Alvarez E. 22. Vila J. 75. Ocampo M. 3. Valverde J. 8. Villarroel M. (C) 7. Villarroel M. 20. Loza P. 88. Centella G. 29. Garces J.
Substitutes
13. Arauz J. (G) 28. Baigorria Y. 2. Barro J. 27. Corrales R. 35. Da Silva D. 33. Fernandez D. 19. Flores J. 97. Gil S. 40. Lujan P. 14. Parada J. 99. Pedro 22. Tellez M.
2. Cabral M. 13. Camacho J. (G) 79. Cuasace G. 4. Duran D. 77. Espinoza S. 18. Gonzales J. 24. Justiniano E. 25. Melgar R. 11. Menacho C. 82. Miranda J. 33. Oliveros A. 80. Pacheco D.
Coaches
Eguez L.
Sanchez E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Valverde J. ↓, Gonzales J. ↑,
38', Thiago Ribeiro 🟨,
43', Anez C. 🟨,
43', Loza P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Thiago Ribeiro ↓, Pedro ↑,
55', Garzon S. 🟨,
57', 0 - 1, Villarroel M. ⚽, Garces J. (A),
60', Centella G. 🟨,
65', Enoumba M. 🟥,
65', Valverde J. 🟥,
69', 1 - 1, Pedro (Penalty Awarded),
71', Villarroel M. 🟨,
72', Pablo Melgar ↓, Baigorria Y. ↑,
73', Garzon S. ↓, Gil S. ↑,
75', Abrego V. 🟨,
78', Loza P. ↓, Melgar R. ↑,
83', Abrego V. ↓, Parada J. ↑,
84', Duran D. 🟥,
84', Moreno A. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
85', Villarroel M. ↓, Cabral M. ↑,
85', Garces J. ↓, Menacho C. ↑,
89', Peredo G. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 2.
Guabirá is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Blooming has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Guabirá might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:33. (average 1.9:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Guabirá won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 2.3:1.3).